I had a great time at ICOTS9. Academic conferences are a bit of a lottery, but ICOTS is two for two for me. Both ICOTS8 and ICOTS9 were winners – enjoyable, interesting and inspiring. I’ve just returned from ICOTS9 in … Continue reading →

Frank de Libero writes: I read your Chance article (disproving that no one reads Chance!) re communicating about flawed psychological research. And I know from your other writings of your continuing good fight against misleading quantitative work. I think you and your students might be interested on my recent critique of a 2011 paper published […] The post Skepticism about a published claim regarding income inequality and happiness appeared first…

The other day I fit a simple model to estimate team abilities from World Cup outcomes. I fit the model to the signed square roots of the score differentials, using the square root on the theory that when the game is less close, it becomes more variable. 0. Background As you might recall, the estimated […] The post Stan World Cup update appeared first on Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and…

Michael Betancourt announces: The Stan Development Team is happy to announce the first Stan London Meetup, Wednesday, July 16th, 6-8 PM Bentham House, Seminar Room 4 4-8 Endsleigh Gardens, London, WC1H 0EG Nominally the plan is to begin with a casual introduction to Stan and then break out into discussion based on the interests of […] The post Stan London Meetup 16 July appeared first on Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference,…

Ben Goodrich, one of the Stan developers, will be leading the session. Bring a laptop, if that’s what you’re working on. We’ll cover: • installation of CmdStan, RStan, and possibly PyStan (if we can find an expert) • work through parts of the Stan language through a few models Signup information is here. Anyone who’s […] The post Stan hands-on introduction in NYC Tues 24 Jun 7pm appeared first on…

Jeremy Freese has the story. To me, the sad thing is not that people who don’t understand statistics are doing research. After all, statistics is hard, and to require statistical understanding of all quantitative researchers would be impossible to enforce in any case. Indeed, if anything, one of the goals of the statistical profession is […] The post Hurricanes/himmicanes extra: Again with the problematic nature of the scientific publication process…

I received the following email from someone who wishes to remain anonymous: I am a longtime reader of your blog and it, along with other factors that I will explain briefly, has motivated to pursue a second masters degree in statistics and machine learning. The problem is, my math isn’t great. I understand statistics and […] The post He’s not so great in math but wants to do statistics and…

I’m about to head off on a speaking tour to Europe (more on that in another post) and one of my hosts has asked for my powerpoint slides so they can print them. They have made two false assumptions: (1) that I use powerpoint; (2) that my slides are static so they can be printed. Instead, I produced a cut-down version of my beamer slides, leaving out some of the…