Bayesian

Bayesian statistics blogs

BayesFactor updated to version 0.9.11-1

March 23, 2015
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The BayesFactor package has been updated to version 0.9.11-1. The changes are:  CHANGES IN BayesFactor VERSION 0.9.11-1CHANGES  * Fixed memory bug causing importance sampling to fail.  CHANGES IN BayesFactor VERSION 0.9.11CHANGES  *...

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Statistical alchemy and the "test for excess significance"

March 23, 2015
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[This post is based largely on my 2013 article for Journal of Mathematical Psychology; see the other articles in that special issue as well for more critiques.]When I tell people that my primary area of research is statistical methods, one of the reactions I often encounter from people untrained in statistics is that “you can prove anything with statistics.” Of course, this rankles, first because it isn't true (unless you…

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June and July workshops in doing Bayesian data analysis

March 22, 2015
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June and July workshops in doing Bayesian data analysis

June and July courses in Bayesian statistics. A full list of workshops in doing Bayesian data analysis is here. Upcoming workshops include these:2015 June 1 - 5. Five-day course: Doing Bayesian Data Analysis, at Stats Camp, Dallas, Texas.2015 June 15-1...

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The frequentist case against the significance test, part 2

March 9, 2015
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The frequentist case against the significance test, part 2

The significance test is perhaps the most used statistical procedure in the world, though has never been without its detractors. This is the second of two posts exploring Neyman's frequentist arguments against the significance test; if you have not read Part 1, you should do so before continuing (“The frequentist case against the significance test, part 1”).Neyman offered two major arguments against the significance test:The significance test fails as an…

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The frequentist case against the significance test, part 1

March 9, 2015
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It is unfortunate that today, we tend to think about statistical theory in terms of Bayesianism vs frequentism. Modern practice is a blend of Fisher's and Neyman's ideas, with the characteristics of the blend driven by convenience rather than principle. Significance tests are lumped in as a “frequentist” technique by Bayesians in an unfortunate rhetorical shorthand.In recent years, the significance test has been critiqued on several grounds, but often these…

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How to shoot yourself in the foot with various statistical philosophies

March 6, 2015
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I've long been a fan of "How to shoot yourself in the foot" jokes. Having shot myself in the foot with different programming languages -- particularly with C -- I was thinking about how one might shoot oneself in the foot with various statistical ...

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At the APS Observer: a profile of JASP

March 2, 2015
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The APS Observer has just published a profile of JASP, a graphical user interface designed to make statistics easier. It includes Bayesian procedures by means of the R and the BayesFactor package. From the article: JASP distinguishes itself from S...

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To Beware or To Embrace The Prior

March 1, 2015
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To Beware or To Embrace The Prior

In this guest post, Jeff Rouder reacts to two recent comments skeptical of Bayesian statistics, and describes the importance of the prior in Bayesian statistics. In short: the prior gives a Bayesian model the power to predict data, and prediction is what allows the evaluation of evidence. Far from being a liability, Bayesian priors are what make Bayesian statistics useful to science.Jeff Rouder writes:Bayes' Theorem is about 250 years old. For…

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"Is the call to abandon p-values the red herring of the replicability crisis?"

February 26, 2015
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"Is the call to abandon p-values the red herring of the replicability crisis?"

In an opinion article [here] titled "Is the call to abandon p-values the red herring of the replicability crisis?", Victoria Savalei and Elizabeth Dunn concluded, "at present we lack empirical evidence that encouraging researchers to abandon p-values ...

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Journal bans null hypothesis significance tests

February 24, 2015
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Journal bans null hypothesis significance tests

In a recent editorial [here], the journal Basic and Applied Social Psychology has banned the null hypothesis significance testing procedure (NHSTP). "We hope and anticipate that banning the NHSTP will have the effect of increasing the quality of submit...

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