Blog Archives

George Carlin (2) vs. John Waters (1); Updike advances

March 30, 2015
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The bard of the suburbs wins yesterday‘s bout with another fine turn of phrase, this time brought to us in comments by Ethan: “Drinking a toast to the visible world, his impending disappearance from it be damned.” Updike, from “My Father’s Tears.” I want to hear from someone who can write like that about things […] The post George Carlin (2) vs. John Waters (1); Updike advances appeared first on…

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How is ethics like logistic regression?

March 30, 2015
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Ethics decisions, like statistical inferences, are informative only if they’re not too easy or too hard. For the full story, read the whole thing. The post How is ethics like logistic regression? appeared first on Statistical Modeling, Causal Inf...

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Friedrich Nietzsche (4) vs. John Updike; Austen advances

March 29, 2015
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I chose yesterday‘s winner based on the oddest comment we’ve received so far in the competition, from AC: I’d love to see what Jane Austen (Austen’s early Regency dress style: http://sensibility.com/vintageimages/1800s/images/lacedress.jpg) thought of late Regency dresses (http://www.kittyprint.com/wp-content/uploads/2013/12/EveningDresses.jpg), which were basically the exact opposite sensibility. It’s an astonishingly quick reversal, from narrow and prim to a […] The post Friedrich Nietzsche (4) vs. John Updike; Austen advances appeared first on Statistical…

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Regression: What’s it all about? [Bayesian and otherwise]

March 29, 2015
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Regression: What’s it all about? Regression plays three different roles in applied statistics: 1. A specification of the conditional expectation of y given x; 2. A generative model of the world; 3. A method for adjusting data to generalize from sample to population, or to perform causal inferences. We could also include prediction, but I […] The post Regression: What’s it all about? [Bayesian and otherwise] appeared first on Statistical…

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Stewart Lee vs. Jane Austen; Dick advances

March 28, 2015
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Yesterday‘s deciding arguments came from Horselover himself. As quoted by Dalton: Any given man sees only a tiny portion of the total truth, and very often, in fact almost . . . perpetually, he deliberately deceives himself about that precious little fragment as well. And: We ourselves are information-rich; information enters us, is processed and […] The post Stewart Lee vs. Jane Austen; Dick advances appeared first on Statistical Modeling,…

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The publication of one of my pet ideas: Simulation-efficient shortest probability intervals

March 28, 2015
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In a paper to appear in Statistics and Computing, Ying Liu, Tian Zheng, and I write: Bayesian highest posterior density (HPD) intervals can be estimated directly from simulations via empirical shortest intervals. Unfortunately, these can be noisy (that is, have a high Monte Carlo error). We derive an optimal weighting strategy using bootstrap and quadratic […] The post The publication of one of my pet ideas: Simulation-efficient shortest probability intervals…

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Mohandas Gandhi (1) vs. Philip K. Dick (2); Hobbes advances

March 27, 2015
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All of yesterday‘s best comments were in favor of the political philosopher. Adam writes: With Hobbes, the seminar would be “nasty, brutish, and short.” And it would degenerate into a “war of all against all.” In other words, the perfect academic seminar. And Jonathan writes: Chris Rock would definitely be more entertaining. But the chance […] The post Mohandas Gandhi (1) vs. Philip K. Dick (2); Hobbes advances appeared first…

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Imagining p

March 27, 2015
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We’ve all had that experience of going purposefully from one hypothesis to another, only to get there and forget why we made the journey. Four years ago, researcher Daryl Bem and his colleagues stripped this effect down, showing that the simple act of obtaining a statistically significant comparison induces publication in a top journal. Now […] The post Imagining p<.05 triggers increased publication appeared first on Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference,…

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Chris Rock (3) vs. Thomas Hobbes; Wood advances

March 26, 2015
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In yesterday‘s contest, there’s no doubt in my mind that Levi-Strauss would give a better and more interesting talk than Wood, whose lecture would presumably feature non-sequiturs, solecisms, continuity violations, and the like. But the funniest comment was from Jonathan: Ed Wood on Forecasting: “We are all interested in the future for that is where […] The post Chris Rock (3) vs. Thomas Hobbes; Wood advances appeared first on Statistical…

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Another disgraced primatologist . . . this time featuring “sympathetic dentists”

March 26, 2015
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Another disgraced primatologist . . . this time featuring “sympathetic dentists”

Shravan Vasishth points us to this news item from Luke Harding, “History of modern man unravels as German scholar is exposed as fraud”: Other details of the professor’s life also appeared to crumble under scrutiny. Before he disappeared from the university’s campus last year, Prof Protsch told his students he had examined Hitler’s and Eva […] The post Another disgraced primatologist . . . this time featuring “sympathetic dentists” appeared…

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