Category: Decision Theory

Julia Child (2) vs. Ira Glass; Dorothy Parker advances

Yesterday we got this argument from Manuel in favor of Biles: After suffering so many bad gymnastics (mathematical, logical, statistical, you name it) at seminars, to have some performed by a true champion would be a welcome change. But Parker takes it away, based on this formidable contribution of Dzhaughn: Things I Have Learned From […]

Moneyball for evaluating community colleges

From an interesting statistics-laden piece by Dean Dad: Far more community college students transfer prior to completing the Associate’s degree than actually complete first. According to a new report from the National Student Clearinghouse Research Center, about 350,000 transfer before completion, compared to about 60,000 who complete first. That matters in several ways. Most basically, […]

Dorothy Parker (2) vs. Simone Biles; Liebling advances

I was surprised to see so little action in the comments yesterday. Sure, Liebling’s an obscure figure—I guess at this point he’d be called a “cult writer,” and I just happen to be part of the cult, fan as I am of mid-twentieth-century magazine writing—but I’d’ve thought Bourdain would’ve aroused more interest. Anyway, the best […]

Anthony Bourdain (3) vs. A. J. Liebling; Steve Martin advances

Yesterday‘s decision was pretty easy, as almost all the commenters talked about Steve Martin, pro and con. Letterman was pretty much out of the picture. Indeed, the best argument in favor of Letterman came from Jonathan, who wrote: I’ll go with Letterman because he looks like he could use the work. Conversely, the strongest argument […]

Steve Martin (4) vs. David Letterman; Serena Williams advances

Yesterday‘s matchup featured a food writer vs. a tennis player, two professions that are not known for public speaking. The best arguments came in the very first two comments. Jeff wrote: Fisher’s first book was “Serve It Forth,” which seems like good advice in tennis, as well. So, you’d get a two-fer there. That was […]

Causal inference data challenge!

Susan Gruber, Geneviève Lefebvre, Tibor Schuster, and Alexandre Piché write: The ACIC 2019 Data Challenge is Live! Datasets are available for download (no registration required) at https://sites.google.com/view/ACIC2019DataChallenge/data-challenge (bottom of the page). Check out the FAQ at https://sites.google.com/view/ACIC2019DataChallenge/faq The deadline for submitting results is April 15, 2019. The fourth Causal Inference Data Challenge is taking place […]

John van Neumann (3) vs. Albert Brooks; Paul Erdos advances

We had some good arguments on both sides yesterday. For Erdos, from Diana Senechal: From an environmental perspective, Erdos is the better choice; his surname is an adjectival form of the Hungarian erdő, “forest,” whereas “Carson” clearly means “son of a car.” Granted, the son of a car, being rebellious and all, might prove especially […]

How post-hoc power calculation is like a shit sandwich

Damn. This story makes me so frustrated I can’t even laugh. I can only cry. Here’s the background. A few months ago, Aleksi Reito (who sent me the adorable picture above) pointed me to a short article by Yanik Bababekov, Sahael Stapleton, Jessica Mueller, Zhi Fong, and David Chang in Annals of Surgery, “A Proposal […]

Johnny Carson (2) vs. Paul Erdos; Babe Didrikson Zaharias advances

OK, our last matchup wasn’t close. Adam Schiff (unseeded in the “people whose name ends in f” category) had the misfortune to go against the juggernaut that was Babe Didrikson Zaharias (seeded #2 in the GOATs category). Committee chair or not, the poor guy never had a chance. As Diana Senechal wrote, “From an existential […]

Babe Didrikson Zaharias (2) vs. Adam Schiff; Sid Caesar advances

And our noontime competition continues . . . We had some good arguments on both sides yesterday. Jonathan writes: In my experience, comedians are great when they’re on-stage and morose and unappealing off-stage. Sullivan, on the other hand, was morose and unappealing on-stage, and witty and charming off-stage, or so I’ve heard. This comes down, […]

The post Babe Didrikson Zaharias (2) vs. Adam Schiff; Sid Caesar advances appeared first on Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science.

Babe Didrikson Zaharias (2) vs. Adam Schiff; Sid Caesar advances

And our noontime competition continues . . . We had some good arguments on both sides yesterday. Jonathan writes: In my experience, comedians are great when they’re on-stage and morose and unappealing off-stage. Sullivan, on the other hand, was morose and unappealing on-stage, and witty and charming off-stage, or so I’ve heard. This comes down, […]

The post Babe Didrikson Zaharias (2) vs. Adam Schiff; Sid Caesar advances appeared first on Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science.

Ed Sullivan (3) vs. Sid Caesar; DJ Jazzy Jeff advances

Yesterday’s battle (Philip Roth vs. DJ Jazzy Jeff) was pretty low-key. It seems that this blog isn’t packed with fans of ethnic literature or hip-hop. Nobody in comments even picked up on my use of the line, “Does anyone know these people? Do they exist or are they spooks?” Isaac gave a good argument in […]

The post Ed Sullivan (3) vs. Sid Caesar; DJ Jazzy Jeff advances appeared first on Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science.

Ed Sullivan (3) vs. Sid Caesar; DJ Jazzy Jeff advances

Yesterday’s battle (Philip Roth vs. DJ Jazzy Jeff) was pretty low-key. It seems that this blog isn’t packed with fans of ethnic literature or hip-hop. Nobody in comments even picked up on my use of the line, “Does anyone know these people? Do they exist or are they spooks?” Isaac gave a good argument in […]

The post Ed Sullivan (3) vs. Sid Caesar; DJ Jazzy Jeff advances appeared first on Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science.

Philip Roth (4) vs. DJ Jazzy Jeff; Jim Thorpe advances

For yesterday’s battle (Jim Thorpe vs. John Oliver), I’ll have to go with Thorpe. We got a couple arguments in Oliver’s favor—we’d get to hear him say “Whot?”, and he’s English—but for Thorpe we heard a lot more, including his uniqueness as greatest athlete of all time, and that we could save money on the […]

The post Philip Roth (4) vs. DJ Jazzy Jeff; Jim Thorpe advances appeared first on Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science.

Philip Roth (4) vs. DJ Jazzy Jeff; Jim Thorpe advances

For yesterday’s battle (Jim Thorpe vs. John Oliver), I’ll have to go with Thorpe. We got a couple arguments in Oliver’s favor—we’d get to hear him say “Whot?”, and he’s English—but for Thorpe we heard a lot more, including his uniqueness as greatest athlete of all time, and that we could save money on the […]

The post Philip Roth (4) vs. DJ Jazzy Jeff; Jim Thorpe advances appeared first on Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science.