Category: Decision Theory

John van Neumann (3) vs. Albert Brooks; Paul Erdos advances

We had some good arguments on both sides yesterday. For Erdos, from Diana Senechal: From an environmental perspective, Erdos is the better choice; his surname is an adjectival form of the Hungarian erdő, “forest,” whereas “Carson” clearly means “son of a car.” Granted, the son of a car, being rebellious and all, might prove especially […]

How post-hoc power calculation is like a shit sandwich

Damn. This story makes me so frustrated I can’t even laugh. I can only cry. Here’s the background. A few months ago, Aleksi Reito (who sent me the adorable picture above) pointed me to a short article by Yanik Bababekov, Sahael Stapleton, Jessica Mueller, Zhi Fong, and David Chang in Annals of Surgery, “A Proposal […]

Johnny Carson (2) vs. Paul Erdos; Babe Didrikson Zaharias advances

OK, our last matchup wasn’t close. Adam Schiff (unseeded in the “people whose name ends in f” category) had the misfortune to go against the juggernaut that was Babe Didrikson Zaharias (seeded #2 in the GOATs category). Committee chair or not, the poor guy never had a chance. As Diana Senechal wrote, “From an existential […]

Babe Didrikson Zaharias (2) vs. Adam Schiff; Sid Caesar advances

And our noontime competition continues . . . We had some good arguments on both sides yesterday. Jonathan writes: In my experience, comedians are great when they’re on-stage and morose and unappealing off-stage. Sullivan, on the other hand, was morose and unappealing on-stage, and witty and charming off-stage, or so I’ve heard. This comes down, […]

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Babe Didrikson Zaharias (2) vs. Adam Schiff; Sid Caesar advances

And our noontime competition continues . . . We had some good arguments on both sides yesterday. Jonathan writes: In my experience, comedians are great when they’re on-stage and morose and unappealing off-stage. Sullivan, on the other hand, was morose and unappealing on-stage, and witty and charming off-stage, or so I’ve heard. This comes down, […]

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Ed Sullivan (3) vs. Sid Caesar; DJ Jazzy Jeff advances

Yesterday’s battle (Philip Roth vs. DJ Jazzy Jeff) was pretty low-key. It seems that this blog isn’t packed with fans of ethnic literature or hip-hop. Nobody in comments even picked up on my use of the line, “Does anyone know these people? Do they exist or are they spooks?” Isaac gave a good argument in […]

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Ed Sullivan (3) vs. Sid Caesar; DJ Jazzy Jeff advances

Yesterday’s battle (Philip Roth vs. DJ Jazzy Jeff) was pretty low-key. It seems that this blog isn’t packed with fans of ethnic literature or hip-hop. Nobody in comments even picked up on my use of the line, “Does anyone know these people? Do they exist or are they spooks?” Isaac gave a good argument in […]

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Philip Roth (4) vs. DJ Jazzy Jeff; Jim Thorpe advances

For yesterday’s battle (Jim Thorpe vs. John Oliver), I’ll have to go with Thorpe. We got a couple arguments in Oliver’s favor—we’d get to hear him say “Whot?”, and he’s English—but for Thorpe we heard a lot more, including his uniqueness as greatest athlete of all time, and that we could save money on the […]

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Philip Roth (4) vs. DJ Jazzy Jeff; Jim Thorpe advances

For yesterday’s battle (Jim Thorpe vs. John Oliver), I’ll have to go with Thorpe. We got a couple arguments in Oliver’s favor—we’d get to hear him say “Whot?”, and he’s English—but for Thorpe we heard a lot more, including his uniqueness as greatest athlete of all time, and that we could save money on the […]

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The seminar speaker contest begins: Jim Thorpe (1) vs. John Oliver

As promised, we’ll be having one contest a day for our Ultimate Seminar Speaker contest, first going through the first round of our bracket, then going through round 2, etc., through to the finals. Here’s the bracket: And now we begin! The first matchup is Jim Thorpe, seeded #1 in the GOATs category, vs. John […]

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The seminar speaker contest begins: Jim Thorpe (1) vs. John Oliver

As promised, we’ll be having one contest a day for our Ultimate Seminar Speaker contest, first going through the first round of our bracket, then going through round 2, etc., through to the finals. Here’s the bracket: And now we begin! The first matchup is Jim Thorpe, seeded #1 in the GOATs category, vs. John […]

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On deck for the first half of 2019

OK, this is what we’ve got for you: “The Book of Why” by Pearl and Mackenzie Reproducibility and Stan MRP (multilevel regression and poststratification; Mister P): Clearing up misunderstandings about Becker on Bohm on the important role of stories in science This is one offer I can refuse How post-hoc power calculation is like a […]

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On deck for the first half of 2019

OK, this is what we’ve got for you: “The Book of Why” by Pearl and Mackenzie Reproducibility and Stan MRP (multilevel regression and poststratification; Mister P): Clearing up misunderstandings about Becker on Bohm on the important role of stories in science This is one offer I can refuse How post-hoc power calculation is like a […]

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Announcing the ultimate seminar speaker contest: 2019 edition!

Paul Davidson made the bracket for us (thanks, Paul!): Here’s the full list: Wits: Oscar Wilde (seeded 1 in group) Dorothy Parker (2) David Sedaris (3) Voltaire (4) Veronica Geng Albert Brooks Mel Brooks Monty Python Creative eaters: M. F. K. Fisher (1) Julia Child (2) Anthony Bourdain (3) Alice Waters (4) A. J. Liebling […]

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Announcing the ultimate seminar speaker contest: 2019 edition!

Paul Davidson made the bracket for us (thanks, Paul!): Here’s the full list: Wits: Oscar Wilde (seeded 1 in group) Dorothy Parker (2) David Sedaris (3) Voltaire (4) Veronica Geng Albert Brooks Mel Brooks Monty Python Creative eaters: M. F. K. Fisher (1) Julia Child (2) Anthony Bourdain (3) Alice Waters (4) A. J. Liebling […]

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