Category: Decision Theory

Veronica Geng vs. Nora Ephron; Riad Sattouf advances

Not much going on in yesterday‘s Past vs. Future battle. Maybe we should’ve brought in Michael J. Fox as a guest judge . . . Anyway, the best argument in the comments came from Ethan: Since we can’t have Mr P let’s have Mr B. Ahhh, but we can have Mr P. We can always […]

Riad Sattouf (1) vs. Mel Brooks; Bruce Springsteen advances

Dalton crisply solved yesterday’s problem right away with, The real test is would you rather have Bruce Springsteen cook for you or have Julia Child sing to you? To ask this question is to answer it. I didn’t even read any comments after that one. Today’s matchup is more exciting. It’s The Arab of the […]

Yes on design analysis, No on “power,” No on sample size calculations

Kevin Lewis points us to this paper, “Sample-Size Planning for More Accurate Statistical Power: A Method Adjusting Sample Effect Sizes for Publication Bias and Uncertainty,” by Samantha Anderson, Ken Kelley, and Scott Maxwell. My reaction: Yes, it’s reasonable, but I have two big problems with the general approach: 1. I don’t like talk of power […]

Round 3 begins: Jim Thorpe (1) vs. Sid Caesar

Today’s contest is a tough call. Caesar is the king of live TV, a real originator—but he did not write his own material, so it could be risky to invite him without getting Carl Reiner, Woody Allen, etc., as support staff. Thorpe is a legend but probably not much of a performer. Both Caesar and […]

Meryl Streep advances and the second round is over!

Best comment yesterday came from Dalton: Yakov Smirnoff’s relevance died with the Soviet Union. And he knows it, which is why he’s apparently now giving motivational talks entitled “Happily Ever Laughter: The Neuroscience of Romantic Relationships”. You can even watch in on PBS: https://www.pbssocal.org/programs/yakov-smirnoffs-happily-ever-laughter/ When I want to experience breathlessly credulous regurgitation of bullshit science […]

Meryl Streep vs. Yakov Smirnoff; LeBron James advances

Yesterday‘s contest was lively. The two best arguments both favor LeBron. From Manuel: And King James said unto them, What seemeth you best I will do. And the king stood by the gate side, and all the people came out by hundreds and by thousands. And from Zbicyclist followed by Dalton: LeBron has been in […]

Ellen DeGeneres vs. LeBron James (3); Pele advances

Not a lot yesterday; maybe Phil‘s right that the formation of the brackets is sometimes more fun than the actual competitions. Anyway, best argument came from Ethan: We’ve not thought at all about language. I think modern Portuguese might do better in Columbia’s neighborhood than classic French. Laplace would write equations in a universal language […]

Pele vs. Pierre Simon Laplace (2); Alan Turing advances

Best comment yesterday came from Manuel: Turing did not know how to train a machine to pass the Turing test. I’m sure Oprah knows how train a person to pass the Oprah test. But there is no Oprah test. So Turing will advance. Maybe next time we do this competition we can include Alison Bechdel. […]

Oprah Winfrey (1) vs. Alan Turing (4); Nora Ephron advances

Yesterday Diana gave an eloquent argument in favor of Voltaire, but then I came across this comment from Dzhaughn: I am concened, as Dalton was earlier, about the risk of uniting the Ephron-Streep-Child triumvirate. This could lead to bad things. Julie vs. Julia, courtroom drama. Jules or Julia, cashing in on the franchise. Meatless in […]

Voltaire (4) vs. Nora Ephron; Veronica Geng advances

Jonathan informs us: Geng’s first contribution to the New Yorker was a July 12th 1976 parody of Martin Gardner. With Gardner eliminated, the Gardner partisans among us can jump on a new wagon. (Alternatively, Geng could simply be replaced by Gardner, but the structure of this contest is anarchic enough already.) In any case, here […]

George H. W. Bush (2) vs. Veronica Geng; Mel Brooks advances

Manuel writes: Old Frankenstein vs Young Frankenstein? Like Prior Frankenstein vs Posterior Frankenstein? Posterior Frankenstein would incorporate more information, so in my opinion it would be preferable for the seminar. But who is Posterior here? Old Frankenstein is older, it should incorporate more information. But he came first. If we exclude time travel, Young Frankenstein […]

Boris Karloff (3) vs. Mel Brooks; Riad Sattouf advances

In yesterday’s contest, Dalton asks: Lance Armstrong isn’t even a GOAT. Did he cheat to get included on the list at the expense of Eddy Merckx? But then Jrc points out: Lance isn’t in for Cycling GOAT, he’s in for NGO-bracelet GOAT. I’m pretty sure he didn’t juice the bracelets. Although now that I think […]

Statmodeling Retro

As many of you know, this blog auto-posts on twitter. That’s cool. But we also have 15 years of old posts with lots of interesting content and discussion! So I had this idea of setting up another twitter feed, Statmodeling Retro, that would start with our very first post in 2004 and then go forward, […]