Category: Decision Theory

Pele wins. On to the semifinals!

Like others, I’m sad that Veronica Geng is out of the running, so I’ll have to go with Diana: Jonathan’s post-hoc argument for Geng was so good that I now have to vote for Pele, given that his name can be transformed into Geng’s through a simple row matrix operation (a gesture that just might […]

Pele vs. Meryl Streep; Riad Sattouf advances

Yesterday Dzhaughn gave a complicated argument but ultimately I couldn’t figure out if it was pro- or anti-Geng, so I had to go with Dalton’s straight shot: Geng has been accused of being “subtle to the point of unintelligibility.” So apparently ole V puts the “b” in subtle. So here’s to our man, Riad who […]

Riad Sattouf (1) vs. Veronica Geng; Bruce Springsteen advances

Personally, I’d rather hear Dorothy Parker, but I had to go with Dalton’s pitch: Ah, but Dorothy Parker is actually from New Jersey. In fact, both Bruce and Dorothy are members of the official New Jersey hall of fame (https://njhalloffame.org/hall-of-famers/). Both were born in Long Branch, NJ. But Bruce is backed up (literally) by another […]

R package for Type M and Type S errors

Andy Garland Timm writes: My package for working with Type S/M errors in hypothesis testing, ‘retrodesign’, is now up on CRAN. It builds on the code provided by Gelman and Carlin (2014) with functions for calculating type S/M errors across a variety of effect sizes as suggested for design analysis in the paper, a function […]

LeBron James (3) vs. Meryl Streep; Pele advances

Yesterday I was gonna go with Turing following Dalton’s eloquent argument: To his credit, Pele didn’t have to play in the era of VAR (video assistant referees). As last Tuesday’s Champions League game between Paris – Saint Germain and Manchester United (as well as the recent World Cup final between Croatia and France) demonstrate, there […]

Alan Turing (4) vs. Pele; Veronica Geng advances

I gotta go with Geng, based on this from Jonathan: I was all in on Geng, as you know, but I have no idea what she sounded like. But it’s not the voice is it? It’s the content. And listen to what Geng could do (Remorse, April 7, 1986) “I will also spend one hundred […]

Veronica Geng vs. Nora Ephron; Riad Sattouf advances

Not much going on in yesterday‘s Past vs. Future battle. Maybe we should’ve brought in Michael J. Fox as a guest judge . . . Anyway, the best argument in the comments came from Ethan: Since we can’t have Mr P let’s have Mr B. Ahhh, but we can have Mr P. We can always […]

Riad Sattouf (1) vs. Mel Brooks; Bruce Springsteen advances

Dalton crisply solved yesterday’s problem right away with, The real test is would you rather have Bruce Springsteen cook for you or have Julia Child sing to you? To ask this question is to answer it. I didn’t even read any comments after that one. Today’s matchup is more exciting. It’s The Arab of the […]

Yes on design analysis, No on “power,” No on sample size calculations

Kevin Lewis points us to this paper, “Sample-Size Planning for More Accurate Statistical Power: A Method Adjusting Sample Effect Sizes for Publication Bias and Uncertainty,” by Samantha Anderson, Ken Kelley, and Scott Maxwell. My reaction: Yes, it’s reasonable, but I have two big problems with the general approach: 1. I don’t like talk of power […]

Round 3 begins: Jim Thorpe (1) vs. Sid Caesar

Today’s contest is a tough call. Caesar is the king of live TV, a real originator—but he did not write his own material, so it could be risky to invite him without getting Carl Reiner, Woody Allen, etc., as support staff. Thorpe is a legend but probably not much of a performer. Both Caesar and […]