Posts Tagged ‘ Zombies ’

The “scientific surprise” two-step

August 1, 2014
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During the past year or so, we’ve been discussing a bunch of “Psychological Science”-style papers in which dramatic claims are made based on somewhat open-ended analysis of small samples with noisy measurements. One thing that comes up in some of these discussions is that the people performing the studies say that they did not fish […] The post The “scientific surprise” two-step appeared first on Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and…

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If it was good enough for Martin Luther King and Laurence Tribe . . .

July 24, 2014
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People keep pointing me to this. P.S. I miss the old days when people would point me to bad graphs. The post If it was good enough for Martin Luther King and Laurence Tribe . . . appeared first on Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Scie...

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“Building on theories used to describe magnets, scientists have put together a model that captures something very different . . .”

July 14, 2014
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There’s a story that (some) physicists and science reporters seem to like, which is the idea that some clever mathematician or physicist can derive universal laws of social behavior. It’s time to tell you all: Hari Seldon never existed. Here’s what I think of these stories of physicists who discover the laws of society. I […] The post “Building on theories used to describe magnets, scientists have put together a…

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D&D 5e: Probabilities for Advantage and Disadvantage

July 12, 2014
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D&D 5e:  Probabilities for Advantage and Disadvantage

The new rules for D&D 5e (formerly known as D&D Next) are finally here: Dungeons & Dragons, 5th Edition: Basic Rules D&D 5e introduces a new game mechanic, advantage and disadvantage. Basic d20 Rules Usually, players roll a 20-sided die (d20) to resolve everyting from attempts at diplomacy to hitting someone with a sword. Each […] The post D&D 5e: Probabilities for Advantage and Disadvantage appeared first on Statistical Modeling,…

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Hey—this is a new kind of spam!

July 11, 2014
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Ya think they’ll never come up with something new, and then this comes along: Dear Dr. Gelman, I am writing to inquire about the availability of obtaining a self-funded visiting scholar position in your institution for one year. I will cover all my expenses during my visit. I have completed a M.A. at Sichuan international […] The post Hey—this is a new kind of spam! appeared first on Statistical Modeling,…

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Just wondering

July 8, 2014
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Just wondering

It would be bad news if a student in the class of Laurence Tribe or Alan Dershowitz or Ian Ayres or Edward Wegman or Matthew Whitaker or Karl Weick or Frank Fischer were to hand in an assignment that is obviously plagiarized copied from another source without attribution. Would the prof have the chutzpah to […] The post Just wondering appeared first on Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science.

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Scott Adams blogging

June 29, 2014
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Some of my commenters (you know who you are) demand more Scott-Adams-related content. So I went over to the Dilbert blog and found two interesting recent items: The Pivot: I’m not particularly interested in the topic (rich guys getting richer) but Adams usefully deploys statistical thinking in this one (“Success simply can’t be predicted to […] The post Scott Adams blogging appeared first on Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social…

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Kristof/Brooks update: NYT columnists correct their mistakes!

June 21, 2014
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Who will issue a correction first? Nicholas Kristof, who uncritically cited the hurricane/himmicane paper which appeared in the prestigious Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences but then was debunked in a stunning round of post-publication review? David Brooks, who botched some historical economic statistics and, in an unrelated incident, uncritically cited some education statistics […] The post Kristof/Brooks update: NYT columnists correct their mistakes! appeared first on Statistical Modeling,…

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“Statistical chemotherapy”: Jeremy Freese adds a new item to the lexicon!

June 18, 2014
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In the context of reporting the latest on hurricanes/himmicanes, Freese comes up with a new one for the lexicon. Considering the latest manipulations performed by the hurricanes/himmicanes people, the sociologist writes: Like statistical chemotherapy, even though it slightly poisons their key result, it still leaves it alive just below the conventional statistical cutoff (p = […] The post “Statistical chemotherapy”: Jeremy Freese adds a new item to the lexicon! appeared…

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Hurricanes/himmicanes extra: Again with the problematic nature of the scientific publication process

June 17, 2014
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Hurricanes/himmicanes extra:  Again with the problematic nature of the scientific publication process

Jeremy Freese has the story. To me, the sad thing is not that people who don’t understand statistics are doing research. After all, statistics is hard, and to require statistical understanding of all quantitative researchers would be impossible to enforce in any case. Indeed, if anything, one of the goals of the statistical profession is […] The post Hurricanes/himmicanes extra: Again with the problematic nature of the scientific publication process…

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