# Posts Tagged ‘ probability ’

## Flip a fair coin 4x. Probability of H following H is 40%???

October 9, 2015
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A recent working paper has come out arguing for the existence of Hot Hands (in basketball), a concept psychologists had dismissed decades ago. Hot hands is where a player is thought to have a higher likelihood of scoring the next basket if the last thr...

## Petit exercice de proba

September 17, 2015
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Mardi dernier, on avait fait une série d’exercices de proba, et je voulais reprendre un exercice pour lequel j’avais proposé une vérification sur ordinateur. Pour résoudre l’exercice, j’avais suggéré la méthode suivante. est tiré parmi , alors que est tiré parmi .  On note assez facilement que le plus petit nombre est , et comme le ppcm de  et  est , (je laisse faire les calculs pour montrer qu’effectivement, au delà, on n’est plus dans les ensembles…

## Odds and Probability: Commonly Misused Terms in Statistics – An Illustrative Example in Baseball

Yesterday, all 15 home teams in Major League Baseball won on the same day – the first such occurrence in history.  CTV News published an article written by Mike Fitzpatrick from The Associated Press that reported on this event.  The article states, “Viewing every game as a 50-50 proposition independent of all others, STATS figured the […]

## Odds and Probability: Commonly Misused Terms in Statistics – An Illustrative Example in Baseball

Yesterday, all 15 home teams in Major League Baseball won on the same day – the first such occurrence in history.  CTV News published an article written by Mike Fitzpatrick from The Associated Press that reported on this event.  The article states, “Viewing every game as a 50-50 proposition independent of all others, STATS figured the […]

## How Predictable is the English Premier League?

May 19, 2015
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The reason why football is so exciting is uncertainty. The outcome of any match or league is unknown, and you get to watch the action unfold without knowing what’s going to happen. Watching matches where you know the score is never exciting. This weekend the English Premier League season will conclude with little fanfare. Bar […]

## I still think you can manufacture an unfair coin

April 13, 2015
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In Gelman and Nolan’s paper “You Can Load a Die, But You Can’t Bias a Coin” The American Statistician, November 2002, Vol. 56, No. 4 it is argued you can’t easily produce a coin that is biased when flipped (and caught). A numb...

## Machine Learning Books Suggested by Michael I. Jordan from Berkeley

December 30, 2014
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There has been a Machine Learning (ML) reading list of books in hacker news for a while, where Professor Michael I. Jordan recommend some books to start on ML for people who are going to devote many decades of their lives to the field, and who want to get to the research frontier fairly quickly. […]

## Machine Learning Books Suggested by Michael I. Jordan from Berkeley

December 30, 2014
By

There has been a Machine Learning (ML) reading list of books in hacker news for a while, where Professor Michael I. Jordan recommend some books to start on ML for people who are going to devote many decades of their lives to the field, and who want to get to the research frontier fairly quickly. […]

## Mathematical Statistics Lesson of the Day – Complete Statistics

$Mathematical Statistics Lesson of the Day – Complete Statistics$

Filed under: Mathematical Statistics, Mathematics, Probability, Statistics, Statistics Lesson of the Day Tagged: almost surely, complete statistic, completeness, estimation, mathematical statistics, point estimation, probability, probability density function, probability mass function, statistics, unbiased estimation, unbiased estimator

## Mathematics and Mathematical Statistics Lesson of the Day – Convex Functions and Jensen’s Inequality

$Mathematics and Mathematical Statistics Lesson of the Day – Convex Functions and Jensen’s Inequality$

Consider a real-valued function that is continuous on the interval , where and are any 2 points in the domain of .  Let be the midpoint of and .  Then, if then is defined to be midpoint convex. More generally, let’s consider any point within the interval .  We can denote this arbitrary point as where . […]