February is a good time to read or reread these pages from Popper’s Conjectures and Refutations. Below are (a) some of my newer reflections on Popper after rereading him in the graduate seminar I taught one year ago with Aris Spanos (Phil 6334), and (b) my slides on Popper and the philosophical problem of induction, first posted here. I welcome reader questions […]
“What ever happened to Bayesian foundations?” was one of the final topics of our seminar (Mayo/SpanosPhil6334). In the past 15 years or so, not only have (some? most?) Bayesians come to accept violations of the Likelihood Principle, they have also tended to disown Dutch Book arguments, and the very idea of inductive inference as updating beliefs by […]
A. Spanos Probability/Statistics Lecture Notes 7: An Introduction to Bayesian Inference (4/10/14) Spanos lecture 7: An Introduction to Bayesian Inference from jemille6 Filed under: Bayesian/frequentist, Phil 6334 class material, Statistics
“Probability/Statistics Lecture Notes 6: An Introduction to Mis-Specification (M-S) Testing” (Aris Spanos) [Other slides from Day 9 by guest, John Byrd, can be found here.]Filed under: misspecification testing, Phil 6334 class material, Spanos, Statistics
Slides (2 sets) from Phil 6334 2/27/14 class (Day#6). D. Mayo: “Frequentist Statistics as a Theory of Inductive Inference” A. Spanos “Probability/Statistics Lecture Notes 4: Hypothesis Testing” Filed under: P-values, Phil 633...
Phil 6334* Day #4: Mayo slides follow the comments below. (Make-up for Feb 13 snow day.) Popper reading is from Conjectures and Refutations. As is typical in rereading any deep philosopher, I discover (or rediscover) different morsals of clues to understanding—whether fully intended by the philosopher or a byproduct of their other insights, and a more contemporary reading. […]
Day #3: Spanos lecture notes 2, and reading/resources from Feb 6 seminar 6334 Day 3 slides: Spanos-lecture-2 ___ Crupi & Tentori (2010). Irrelevant Conjunction: Statement and Solution of a New Paradox, Phil Sci, 77, 1–13. Hawthorne & Fitelson (2004). Re-Solving Irrelevant Conjunction with Probabilistic Independence, Phil Sci 71: 505–514. Skryms (1975) Choice and Chance 2nd ed. Chapter V and Carnap (pp. 206-211), Dickerson Pub. […]
Day #2, Part 1: D. Mayo: Class, Part 2: A. Spanos: Probability/Statistics Lecture Notes 1: Introduction to Probability and Statistical Inference Day #1 slides are here.Filed under: Phil 6334 class material, Philosophy of Statistics, Statistics
First installment 6334 syllabus (Mayo and Spanos) D. Mayo slides from Day #1: Jan 23, 2014 I will post seminar slides here (they will generally be ragtag affairs), links to the papers are in the syllabus.Filed under: Phil 6334 class material, Phi...
