Blog Archives

Allan Birnbaum: Foundations of Probability and Statistics (27 May 1923 – 1 July 1976)

May 27, 2017
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Allan Birnbaum: Foundations of Probability and Statistics (27 May 1923 – 1 July 1976)

Today is Allan Birnbaum’s birthday. In honor of his birthday, I’m posting the articles in the Synthese volume that was dedicated to his memory in 1977. The editors describe it as their way of  “paying homage to Professor Birnbaum’s penetrating and stimulating work on the foundations of statistics”. I paste a few snippets from the articles by Giere […]

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3 YEARS AGO (APRIL 2014): MEMORY LANE

May 15, 2017
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3 YEARS AGO (APRIL 2014): MEMORY LANE

MONTHLY MEMORY LANE: 3 years ago: April 2014. I mark in red three posts from each month that seem most apt for general background on key issues in this blog, excluding those reblogged recently[1], and in green up to 4 others I’d recommend[2].  Posts that are part of a “unit” or a group count as one. For this month, I’ll include […]

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Jerzy Neyman and “Les Miserables Citations” (statistical theater in honor of his birthday)

April 18, 2017
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Jerzy Neyman and “Les Miserables Citations” (statistical theater in honor of his birthday)

For my final Jerzy Neyman item, here’s the post I wrote for his birthday last year:  A local acting group is putting on a short theater production based on a screenplay I wrote:  “Les Miserables Citations” (“Those Miserable Quotes”) [1]. The “miserable” citations are those everyone loves to cite, from their early joint 1933 paper: We are inclined to think that as […]

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Neyman: Distinguishing tests of statistical hypotheses and tests of significance might have been a lapse of someone’s pen

April 17, 2017
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Neyman: Distinguishing tests of statistical hypotheses and tests of significance might have been a lapse of someone’s pen

I’ll continue to post Neyman-related items this week in honor of his birthday. This isn’t the only paper in which Neyman makes it clear he denies a distinction between a test of  statistical hypotheses and significance tests. He and E. Pearson also discredit the myth that the former is only allowed to report pre-data, fixed error probabilities, and are […]

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If you’re seeing limb-sawing in P-value logic, you’re sawing off the limbs of reductio arguments

April 15, 2017
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If you’re seeing limb-sawing in P-value logic, you’re sawing off the limbs of reductio arguments

I was just reading a paper by Martin and Liu (2014) in which they allude to the “questionable logic of proving H0 false by using a calculation that assumes it is true”(p. 1704).  They say they seek to define a notion of “plausibility” that “fits the way practitioners use and interpret p-values: a small p-value means […]

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3 YEARS AGO (MARCH 2014): MEMORY LANE

April 9, 2017
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3 YEARS AGO (MARCH 2014): MEMORY LANE

MONTHLY MEMORY LANE: 3 years ago: March 2014. I mark in red three posts from each month that seem most apt for general background on key issues in this blog, excluding those reblogged recently[1], and in green up to 4 others I’d recommend[2].  Posts that are part of a “unit” or a group count as one. 3/19 and 3/17 are one, […]

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Er, about those other approaches, hold off until a balanced appraisal is in

April 1, 2017
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Er, about those other approaches, hold off until a balanced appraisal is in

I could have told them that the degree of accordance enabling the ASA’s “6 principles” on p-values was unlikely to be replicated when it came to most of the “other approaches” with which some would supplement or replace significance tests– notably Bayesian updating, Bayes factors, or likelihood ratios (confidence intervals are dual to hypotheses tests). [My commentary […]

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BOSTON COLLOQUIUM FOR PHILOSOPHY OF SCIENCE: Understanding Reproducibility & Error Correction in Science

March 13, 2017
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BOSTON COLLOQUIUM FOR PHILOSOPHY OF SCIENCE:  Understanding Reproducibility & Error Correction in Science

BOSTON COLLOQUIUM FOR PHILOSOPHY OF SCIENCE 2016–2017 57th Annual Program Download the 57th Annual Program The Alfred I. Taub forum: UNDERSTANDING REPRODUCIBILITY & ERROR CORRECTION IN SCIENCE Cosponsored by GMS and BU’s BEST at Boston University. Friday, March 17, 2017 1:00 p.m. – 5:00 p.m. The Terrace Lounge, George Sherman Union 775 Commonwealth Avenue Reputation, […]

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The ASA Document on P-Values: One Year On

March 8, 2017
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The ASA Document on P-Values: One Year On

I’m surprised it’s a year already since posting my published comments on the ASA Document on P-Values. Since then, there have been a slew of papers rehearsing the well-worn fallacies of tests (a tad bit more than the usual rate). Doubtless, the P-value Pow Wow raised people’s consciousnesses. I’m interested in hearing reader reactions/experiences in connection with […]

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3 YEARS AGO (FEBRUARY 2014): MEMORY LANE

March 1, 2017
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3 YEARS AGO (FEBRUARY 2014): MEMORY LANE

MONTHLY MEMORY LANE: 3 years ago: February 2014. I normally mark in red three posts from each month that seem most apt for general background on key issues in this blog, but I decided just to list these as they are (some are from a seminar I taught with Aris Spanos 3 years ago; several on Fisher were recently reblogged). I […]

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