Posts Tagged ‘ Likelihood Principle ’

Allan Birnbaum: Foundations of Probability and Statistics (27 May 1923 – 1 July 1976)

May 27, 2017
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Allan Birnbaum: Foundations of Probability and Statistics (27 May 1923 – 1 July 1976)

Today is Allan Birnbaum’s birthday. In honor of his birthday, I’m posting the articles in the Synthese volume that was dedicated to his memory in 1977. The editors describe it as their way of  “paying homage to Professor Birnbaum’s penetrating and stimulating work on the foundations of statistics”. I paste a few snippets from the articles by Giere […]

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Midnight With Birnbaum (Happy New Year)

December 31, 2015
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Midnight With Birnbaum (Happy New Year)

 Just as in the past 4 years since I’ve been blogging, I revisit that spot in the road at 11p.m., just outside the Elbar Room, get into a strange-looking taxi, and head to “Midnight With Birnbaum”. (The pic on the left is the only blurry image I have of the club I’m taken to.) I wonder […]

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Statistical Theater of the Absurd: “Stat on a Hot Tin Roof”

August 9, 2015
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Statistical Theater of the Absurd: “Stat on a Hot Tin Roof”

Memory lane: Did you ever consider how some of the colorful exchanges among better-known names in statistical foundations could be the basis for high literary drama in the form of one-act plays (even if appreciated by only 3-7 people in the world)? (Think of the expressionist exchange between Bohr and Heisenberg in Michael Frayn’s play […]

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“Intentions” is the new code word for “error probabilities”: Allan Birnbaum’s Birthday

May 27, 2015
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“Intentions” is the new code word for “error probabilities”: Allan Birnbaum’s Birthday

Today is Allan Birnbaum’s Birthday. Birnbaum’s (1962) classic “On the Foundations of Statistical Inference,” in Breakthroughs in Statistics (volume I 1993), concerns a principle that remains at the heart of today’s controversies in statistics–even if it isn’t obvious at first: the Likelihood Principle (LP) (also called the strong likelihood Principle SLP, to distinguish it from the […]

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Midnight With Birnbaum (Happy New Year)

December 31, 2014
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Midnight With Birnbaum (Happy New Year)

 Just as in the past 3 years since I’ve been blogging, I revisit that spot in the road at 11p.m.*,just outside the Elbar Room, get into a strange-looking taxi, and head to “Midnight With Birnbaum”. I wonder if they’ll come for me this year, given that my Birnbaum article is out… This is what the place […]

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Statistical Theater of the Absurd: “Stat on a Hot Tin Roof”

September 21, 2014
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Statistical Theater of the Absurd: “Stat on a Hot Tin Roof”

Memory lane: Did you ever consider how some of the colorful exchanges among better-known names in statistical foundations could be the basis for high literary drama in the form of one-act plays (even if appreciated by only 3-7 people in the world)? (Think of the expressionist exchange between Bohr and Heisenberg in Michael Frayn’s play […]

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Statistical Science: The Likelihood Principle issue is out…!

September 7, 2014
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Statistical Science: The Likelihood Principle issue is out…!

Abbreviated Table of Contents: Here are some items for your Saturday-Sunday reading.  Link to complete discussion:  Mayo, Deborah G. On the Birnbaum Argument for the Strong Likelihood Principle (with discussion & rejoinder). Statistical Science 29 (2014), no. 2, 227-266. Links to individual papers: Mayo, Deborah G. On the Birnbaum Argument for the Strong Likelihood Principle. Statistical […]

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BREAKING THE LAW! (of likelihood): to keep their fit measures in line (A), (B 2nd)

August 29, 2014
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BREAKING THE LAW! (of likelihood): to keep their fit measures in line (A), (B 2nd)

1.An Assumed Law of Statistical Evidence (law of likelihood) Nearly all critical discussions of frequentist error statistical inference (significance tests, confidence intervals, p- values, power, etc.) start with the following general assumption about the nature of inductive evidence or support: Data x are better evidence for hypothesis H1 than for H0 if x are more probable under H1 than […]

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Allan Birnbaum, Philosophical Error Statistician: 27 May 1923 – 1 July 1976

May 27, 2014
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Allan Birnbaum, Philosophical Error Statistician:  27 May 1923 – 1 July 1976

Today is Allan Birnbaum’s Birthday. Birnbaum’s (1962) classic “On the Foundations of Statistical Inference” is in Breakthroughs in Statistics (volume I 1993).  I’ve a hunch that Birnbaum would have liked my rejoinder to discussants of my forthcoming paper (Statistical Science): Bjornstad, Dawid, Evans, Fraser, Hannig, and Martin and Liu. I hadn’t realized until recently that all of this is up […]

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Statistical Theater of the Absurd: “Stat on a Hot Tin Roof”

September 22, 2013
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Statistical Theater of the Absurd: “Stat on a Hot Tin Roof”

Memory lane: Did you ever consider how some of the colorful exchanges among better-known names in statistical foundations could be the basis for high literary drama in the form of one-act plays (even if appreciated by only 3-7 people in the world)? (Think of the expressionist exchange between Bohr and Heisenberg in Michael Frayn’s play […]

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