Posts Tagged ‘ Decision Theory ’

On deck this week

February 8, 2016
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On deck this week

Mon: Forking paths vs. six quick regression tips Tues: Primed to lose Wed: Point summary of posterior simulations? Thurs: In general, hypothesis testing is overrated and hypothesis generation is underrated, so it’s fine for these data to be collected with exploration in mind. Fri: “Priming Effects Replicate Just Fine, Thanks” Sat: Pooling is relative to […] The post On deck this week appeared first on Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and…

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On deck this week

February 1, 2016
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Mon: When does peer review make no damn sense? Tues: Stunning breakthrough: Using Stan to map cancer screening! Wed: Where the fat people at? Thurs: The Notorious N.H.S.T. presents: Mo P-values Mo Problems Fri: What’s the difference between randomness and uncertainty? Sat: You’ll never guess what I say when I have nothing to say Sun: […] The post On deck this week appeared first on Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and…

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Postdoc opportunity with Sophia Rabe-Hesketh and me in Berkeley!

January 31, 2016
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Sophia writes: Mark Wilson, Zach Pardos and I are looking for a postdoc to work with us on a range of projects related to educational assessment and statistical modeling, such as Bayesian modeling in Stan (joint with Andrew Gelman). See here for more details. We will accept applications until February 26. The position is for […] The post Postdoc opportunity with Sophia Rabe-Hesketh and me in Berkeley! appeared first on…

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The time-reversal heuristic—a new way to think about a published finding that is followed up by a large, preregistered replication (in context of Amy Cuddy’s claims about power pose)

January 26, 2016
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The time-reversal heuristic—a new way to think about a published finding that is followed up by a large, preregistered replication (in context of Amy Cuddy’s claims about power pose)

[Note to busy readers: If you’re sick of power pose, there’s still something of general interest in this post; scroll down to the section on the time-reversal heuristic. I really like that idea.] Someone pointed me to this discussion on Facebook in which Amy Cuddy expresses displeasure with my recent criticism (with Kaiser Fung) of […] The post The time-reversal heuristic—a new way to think about a published finding that…

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On deck this week

January 25, 2016
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Mon: Ted Versus Powerpose and the Moneygoround, Part One Tues: “Null hypothesis” = “A specific random number generator” Wed: “Why IT Fumbles Analytics Projects Thurs: Is a 60% risk reduction really no big deal? Fri: Placebo effect shocker: After reading this, you won’t know what to believe. Sat: TOP SECRET: Newly declassified documents on evaluating […] The post On deck this week appeared first on Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and…

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My namesake doesn’t seem to understand the principles of decision analysis

January 18, 2016
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My namesake doesn’t seem to understand the principles of decision analysis

It says “Never miss another deadline.” But if you really could never miss your deadlines, you’d just set your deadlines earlier, no? It’s statics vs. dynamics all over again. That said, this advice seems reasonable: The author has also developed a foolproof method of structuring your writing, so that you make effective use of your […] The post My namesake doesn’t seem to understand the principles of decision analysis appeared…

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On deck this week

January 18, 2016
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Mon: My namesake doesn’t seem to understand the principles of decision analysis Tues: Middle-aged white death trends update: It’s all about women in the south Wed: My talk Fri 1pm at the University of Chicago Thurs: If you’re using Stata and you want to do Bayes, you should be using StataStan Fri: One quick tip […] The post On deck this week appeared first on Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and…

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On deck this week

January 11, 2016
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Mon: New course: Street-Fighting Math Tues: Paxil: What went wrong? Wed: Pro-PACE, anti-PACE Thurs: My namesake doesn’t seem to understand the principles of decision analysis Fri: Risk aversion is a two-way street Sat: A reanalysis of data from a Psychological Science paper Sun: The devil really is in the details; or, You’ll be able to […] The post On deck this week appeared first on Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and…

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Read this to change your entire perspective on statistics: Why inversion of hypothesis tests is not a general procedure for creating uncertainty intervals

January 8, 2016
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Read this to change your entire perspective on statistics:  Why inversion of hypothesis tests is not a general procedure for creating uncertainty intervals

Dave Choi writes: A reviewer has pointed me something that you wrote in your blog on inverting test statistics. Specifically, the reviewer is interested in what can happen if the test can reject the entire assumed family of models, and has asked me to consider discussing whether it applies to a paper that I am […] The post Read this to change your entire perspective on statistics: Why inversion of…

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The PACE trial and the problems with discrete, yes/no thinking

January 6, 2016
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The PACE trial and the problems with discrete, yes/no thinking

I don’t often read the Iranian Journal of Cancer Prevention, but I like this quote: I was thinking more about the PACE trial. God is in every leaf of every tree. There’s been a lot of discussion about statistical problems with the PACE papers, and also about the research team’s depressing refusal to share their […] The post The PACE trial and the problems with discrete, yes/no thinking appeared first…

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