Posts Tagged ‘ Decision Theory ’

On deck this week

April 21, 2014
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Mon: Ticket to Baaaath Tues: Ticket to Baaaaarf Wed: Thinking of doing a list experiment? Here’s a list of reasons why you should think again Thurs: An open site for researchers to post and share papers Fri: Questions about “Too Good to Be True” Sat: Sleazy sock puppet can’t stop spamming our discussion of compressed […]The post On deck this week appeared first on Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social…

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Fooled by randomness

April 20, 2014
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From 2006: Naseem Taleb‘s publisher sent me a copy of “Fooled by randomness: the hidden role of chance in life and the markets” to review. It’s an important topic, and the book is written in a charming style—I’ll try to respond in kind, with some miscellaneous comments. On the cover of the book is a […]The post Fooled by randomness appeared first on Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science.

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On deck this week

April 14, 2014
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Mon: Transitioning to Stan Tues: When you believe in things that you don’t understand Wed: Looking for Bayesian expertise in India, for the purpose of analysis of sarcoma trials Thurs: If you get to the point of asking, just do it. But some difficulties do arise . . . Fri: One-tailed or two-tailed? Sat: Index […]The post On deck this week appeared first on Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social…

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Advice: positive-sum, zero-sum, or negative-sum

April 9, 2014
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There’s a lot of free advice out there. I offer some of it myself! As I’ve written before (see this post from 2008 reacting to this advice from Dan Goldstein for business school students, and this post from 2010 reacting to some general advice from Nassim Taleb), what we see is typically presented as advice […]The post Advice: positive-sum, zero-sum, or negative-sum appeared first on Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and…

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On deck this week

April 7, 2014
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Mon: How literature is like statistical reasoning: Kosara on stories. Gelman and Basbøll on stories. Tues: Understanding Simpson’s paradox using a graph Wed: Advice: positive-sum, zero-sum, or negative-sum Thurs: Small multiples of lineplots > maps (ok, not always, but yes in this case) Fri: “More research from the lunatic fringe” Sat: “Schools of statistical thoughts […]The post On deck this week appeared first on Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social…

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Am I too negative?

April 2, 2014
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For background, you can start by reading my recent article, Is It Possible to Be an Ethicist Without Being Mean to People? and then a blog post, Quality over Quantity, by John Cook, who writes: At one point [Ed] Tufte spoke more generally and more personally about pursuing quality over quantity. He said most papers […]The post Am I too negative? appeared first on Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social…

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On deck this week

March 31, 2014
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Mon: The most-cited statistics papers ever Tues: American Psychological Society announces a new journal Wed: Am I too negative? Thurs: As the boldest experiment in journalism history, you admit you made a mistake Fri: The Notorious N.H.S.T. presen...

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On deck this week

March 24, 2014
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OK, I’ve given up on theme weeks. I have enough saved-up material to do it, and it wouldn’t be too much trouble to group the scheduled posts into themes, but there doesn’t really seem to be a point. I say this because, having looked at the comment threads from the past few weeks, the comments […]The post On deck this week appeared first on Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social…

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On deck this month

March 24, 2014
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Actually, more like the next month and a half . . . I just have this long backlog so I thought I might as well share it with you: Empirical implications of Empirical Implications of Theoretical Models A statistical graphics course and statistical graphics advice What property is important in a risk prediction model? Discrimination […]The post On deck this month appeared first on Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social…

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Greg Mankiw’s utility function

March 23, 2014
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From 2010: Greg Mankiw writes (link from Tyler Cowen): Without any taxes, accepting that editor’s assignment would have yielded my children an extra $10,000. With taxes, it yields only $1,000. In effect, once the entire tax system is taken into account, my family’s marginal tax rate is about 90 percent. Is it any wonder that […]The post Greg Mankiw’s utility function appeared first on Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social…

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