Blog Archives

Posterior predictive output with Stan

May 19, 2015
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Posterior predictive output with Stan

I continue my Stan experiments with another insurance example. Here I am particular interested in the posterior predictive distribution from only three data points. Or, to put it differently I have a customer of three years and I'd like to predict the ...

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Hello Stan!

May 12, 2015
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Hello Stan!

In my previous post I discussed how Longley-Cook, an actuary at an insurance company in the 1950's, used Bayesian reasoning to estimate the probability for a mid-air collision of two planes.Here I will use the same model to get started with Stan/RStan,...

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Predicting events, when they haven’t happened yet

May 5, 2015
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Predicting events, when they haven’t happened yet

Suppose you have to predict the probabilities of events which haven't happened yet. How do you do this?Here is an example from the 1950s when Longley-Cook, an actuary at an insurance company, was asked to price the risk for a mid-air collision of two p...

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R in Insurance 2015 Conference Programme

April 28, 2015
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R in Insurance 2015 Conference Programme

The programme for the 3rd R in Insurance conference is on-line. The event will take place on 29 June 2015 at the University of Amsterdam. Time to register now. Special thanks to our sponsors, without whom the conference wouldn't be possible: CYBAEA, RS...

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R in Insurance 2015 Conference Programme

April 28, 2015
By
R in Insurance 2015 Conference Programme

The programme for the 3rd R in Insurance conference is on-line. The event will take place on 29 June 2015 at the University of Amsterdam. Time to register now. Special thanks to our sponsors, without whom the conference wouldn't be possible: CYBAEA, RS...

Read more »

Combining several lattice charts into one

April 21, 2015
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Combining several lattice charts into one

Last week I mentioned the grid.arrange function of the gridExtra package that allows me to combine graphical grid objects onto one page. The latticeExtra package provides another elegant solution for trellis (lattice) plots: the function c.trellis() or...

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Plotting tables alsongside charts in R

April 14, 2015
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Plotting tables alsongside charts in R

Occasionally I'd like to plot a table alongside a chart in R, e.g. to present summary statistics of the graph itself. Thanks to the gridExtra package this is quite straightforward. The function tableGrob creates a table like plot of a data frame, while...

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Test Driven Analysis

April 7, 2015
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Test Driven Analysis

I mused over Test Driven Analysis on this blog before, but it was Richard Pugh's talk on SAS to R Migration at LondonR last week that brought the topic back into my mind and clarified a few things.Rich's presentation focused on the challenge of how to ...

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Interactive pivot tables with R

March 31, 2015
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Interactive pivot tables with R

I love interactive pivot tables. That is the number one reason why I keep using spreadsheet software. The ability to look at data quickly in lots of different ways, without a single line of code helps me to get an understanding of the data really fast...

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ChainLadder 0.2.0 adds Solvency II CDR functions

March 24, 2015
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ChainLadder 0.2.0 adds Solvency II CDR functions

ChainLadder is an R package that provides statistical methods and models for claims reserving in general insurance.With version 0.2.0 we added new functions to estimate the claims development result (CDR) as required under Solvency II. Special thanks t...

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