Blog Archives

The fix

September 15, 2016
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The fix

This is a very interesting post by Martyn Plummer on the JAGS News blog, describing how apparently silly details may make a world of difference. I think Martyn says he's now fixed the issue (basically, it appears that JAGS was sensitive to the order in...

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LGM 2016

September 15, 2016
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LGM 2016

Yesterday I went to beautiful Bath for The Fifth Workshop on Bayesian Inference for Latent Gaussian Models with Applications and give a talk on our work on INLA-SPDE to compute the Expected Value of Partial Perfect Information.&nbsp...

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Careful whisper

September 13, 2016
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Careful whisper

PREFACE: This post is only partially a grumpy man's emotional outburst: just hear me out on this one... ABSTRACT: A grumpy man vents about spam emails from random scientific (and sometimes pseudo-scientific) journals.RELEVANCE OF GEORGE MICHAEL'S ...

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Sad night

August 26, 2016
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Sad night

I've just heard the very sad news that Richard Nixon has passed away this morning. I can't say I knew Richard very well, but I thought he really was a lovely guy and I am very saddened.I knew of him (among other things) through his work on covariate ad...

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National lottery

August 17, 2016
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National lottery

Yesterday, many British newspapers have covered the news of the new Dementia Atlas, released by the Department of Health.As far as I can see, the atlas uses data from a variety of sources (including the Quality Outcomes Framework, QOF, scheme...

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Finish line (nearly)

July 15, 2016
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Finish line (nearly)

We are very close to the finish line $-$ that's being able to finally submit the BCEA book to the editor (Springer).This has been a rather long journey, but I think the current version (I dread using the word "final" just yet...) is very good, I think....

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Bad medical journal

July 6, 2016
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This is an interesting story, I think and I have to say I'm sort of being inspired in the title of the post from a talk that Stephen Senn gave a while back at UCL. He in turn had been referring to Ben Goldacre's book Bad Pharma $-$ the book argues...

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Fire and mouse alarm

July 5, 2016
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Fire and mouse alarm

Yesterday we finally had our workshop on infectious disease modelling in health economic evaluation. I think the day went very well and we had very interesting talks (as soon as I can, I will upload the slides on the website above, for all the speakers...

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Silver lining

June 30, 2016
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Fivethirtyeight has just published their first prediction for the next US presidential election, stating that Clinton has around 80% chance of winning to Trumps' 20%. This has been also reported in the general media (for example here).I think the tone ...

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Workshop on Infectious Disease Modelling in Public Health Policy: Current status and challenges (yet, again)

June 17, 2016
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I've written about this a couple of times already (here and here). We've finalised the speakers line up (see here for the latest information) and I think this is a very exciting programme! (I know you may think "well, he would say that, wouldn't he?" $...

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