Today Dennis Kimetto ran the Berlin Marathon in 2:02:57, shaving 26 seconds off the previous world record. That means it's time to check in on the world record progression and update my update from last year of my article from two year...

This week's post has more math than most, so I wrote in it LaTeX and translated it to HTML using HeVeA. Some of the formulas are not as pretty as they could be. If you prefer, you can read this article in PDF. Abstract: My two favorite topics in probability and statistics are Bayes’s theorem and logistic regression. Because there are similarities between them, I have always assumed that there…