Blog Archives

Learning to Love Bayesian Statistics

May 18, 2016
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Learning to Love Bayesian Statistics

I did a webcast earlier today about Bayesian statistics.  Some time in the next week, the video should be available from O'Reilly.  In the meantime, you can see my slides here: And here's a transcript of what I said:Thanks everyone for joinin...

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Does Trivers-Willard apply to people?

May 17, 2016
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Does Trivers-Willard apply to people?

Today I am working on another "one-day paper", although this one is a bit of a cheat, since I'm a few hours past the deadline.  Nevertheless, the question of the day is whether the Trivers-Willard effect applies to people.According to Wikipedia, t...

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Probability is hard: part four

May 10, 2016
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Probability is hard: part four

This is the fourth part of a series of posts about conditional probability and Bayesian statistics.In the first article, I presented the Red Dice problem, which is a warm-up problem that might help us make sense of the other problems.In the s...

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Probability is hard: part three

May 9, 2016
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Probability is hard: part three

This is the third part of a series of posts about conditional probability and Bayesian statistics.In the first article, I presented the Red Dice problem, which is a warm-up problem that might help us make sense of the other problems.In the second ...

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Probability is hard, part two

May 6, 2016
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Probability is hard, part two

If you read yesterday's post, you know that my colleague Sanjoy Mahajan and I have been working on a series of problems related to conditional probability and Bayesian statistics.  In the previous article, I presented the Red Dice problem, which i...

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Probability is hard

May 5, 2016
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Probability is hard

For more than a month, my colleague Sanjoy Mahajan and I have been banging our heads on a series of problems related to conditional probability and Bayesian statistics.  We knew when we started that this material is tricky, as demonstrated by veri...

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Stats can’t make modeling decisions

May 3, 2016
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Stats can’t make modeling decisions

Here's a question that appeared recently on the Reddit statistics forum:If effect sizes of coefficient are really small, can you interpret as no relationship?  Coefficients are very significant, which is expected with my large dataset. But coeffic...

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Bayes on Jupyter

April 27, 2016
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Bayes on Jupyter

I am working on an updated version of my workshop, Bayesian Statistics Made Simple, now using Jupyter notebooks (formerly known as IPython). It's still a work in progress, but you can see a draft of my slides here:  If you want to run the code, ...

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Engineering education is good preparation for a lot of things

March 28, 2016
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Engineering education is good preparation for a lot of things

I am a big fan of engineering education.  I think studying engineering for four years is intellectually challenging, exciting, and (when it is done right) fun.  An engineering education is good preparation for careers in many fields and (agai...

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The retreat from religion is accelerating

March 18, 2016
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The retreat from religion is accelerating

Updated results from the CIRP Freshman Survey were published last week, which means it's time for me to update to my annual series on the increasing number of college students with no religious affiliation (the "nones").Since I started following this t...

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