According to an exciting new study, childhood vaccines are almost miraculously effective at preventing suffering and death due to infectious disease.Sadly, that is not actually a headline, because it doesn't generate clicks. What does generate cl...

This week's post has more math than most, so I wrote in it LaTeX and translated it to HTML using HeVeA. Some of the formulas are not as pretty as they could be. If you prefer, you can read this article in PDF. Abstract: My two favorite topics in probability and statistics are Bayes’s theorem and logistic regression. Because there are similarities between them, I have always assumed that there…