Posts Tagged ‘ Research tips ’

Interpreting noise

April 6, 2014
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Interpreting noise

When watching the TV news, or reading newspaper commentary, I am frequently amazed at the attempts people make to interpret random noise. For example, the latest tiny fluctuation in the share price of a major company is attributed to the CEO being ill. When the exchange rate goes up, the TV finance commentator confidently announces that it is a reaction to Chinese building contracts. No one ever says “The unemployment…

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Getting a LaTeX system set up

April 4, 2014
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Getting a LaTeX system set up

Today I was teaching the honours students in econometrics and economics about LaTeX. Here are some brief instructions on how to set up a LaTeX system on different operating systems. MS-Windows Download and run the setup program for MikTeX. Choose the “basic” system. Download and run the installer program for TeXstudio. Then run TeXstudio and start typing. Mac OS Download and install MacTeX. Then run TeXshop and start typing. Ubuntu…

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Online collaborative writing

January 28, 2014
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Online collaborative writing

Everyone who has written a paper with another author will know it can be tricky making sure you don’t end up with two versions that need to be merged. The good news is that the days of sending updated drafts by email backwards and forwards is finally over (having lasted all of 25 years — I can barely imagine writing papers before email). LaTeX solutions There has been a lot…

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MAXIMA research centre at Monash Uni

September 11, 2013
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MAXIMA research centre at Monash Uni

The “Monash Academy for Cross and Interdisciplinary Mathematical Applications” (MAXIMA) is a new research centre that aims to maximise the potential of mathematics to deliver impact to society. It will be led by Kate Smith-Miles. I will also be inv...

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Online course on forecasting using R

September 11, 2013
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Online course on forecasting using R

I am teaming up with Revolution Analytics to teach an online course on forecasting with R. Topics to be covered include seasonality and trends, exponential smoothing, ARIMA modelling, dynamic regression and state space models, as well as forecast accuracy methods and forecast evaluation techniques such as cross-validation. I will talk about some of my consulting experiences, and explain the tools in the forecast package for R. The course will run…

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Reflections on UseR! 2013

July 12, 2013
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Reflections on UseR! 2013

This week I’ve been at the R Users conference in Albacete, Spain. These conferences are a little unusual in that they are not really about research, unlike most conferences I attend. They provide a place for people to discuss and exchange ideas on how R can be used. Here are some thoughts and highlights of the conference, in no particular order. Håvard Rue spoke on Bayesian computing with INLA and…

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Facts and fallacies of the AIC

July 3, 2013
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Facts and fallacies of the AIC

Akaike’s Information Criterion (AIC) is a very useful model selection tool, but it is not as well understood as it should be. I frequently read papers, or hear talks, which demonstrate misunderstandings or misuse of this important tool. The following points should clarify some aspects of the AIC, and hopefully reduce its misuse. The AIC is a penalized likelihood, and so it requires the likelihood to be maximized before it…

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End of Google Reader

June 29, 2013
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End of Google Reader

If you are reading this in Google Reader, or you are reading in an RSS reader that uses Google Reader as a back-end, then you probably need this reminder. Everyone else can stop reading now. Google Reader will cease to be available on 1 July and you wi...

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Future ISFs

June 26, 2013
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Future ISFs

The next few locations for the International Symposium on Forecasting have been announced: 2014: Rotterdam, The Netherlands 2015: Riverside, California, USA 2016: Santander, Spain 2017: Cairns, Australia The ISF is easily the best forecasting confere...

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Managing research ideas

May 25, 2013
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Managing research ideas

I received this email today: Dear Professor Hyndman, I was wondering if you could maybe give me some advice on how to organize your research process. I am able to search the literature on a certain topic and identify where there is a question to work with. My main difficult is to organize my paper annotations in order to help me to guide my research process, i.e, how to manage…

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