Posts Tagged ‘ Politics ’

What if the RNC assigned seating randomly

July 21, 2016
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What if the RNC assigned seating randomly

The punditry has spoken: the most important data question at the Republican Convention is where different states are located. Here is the FiveThirtyEight take on the matter: They crunched some numbers and argue that Trump's margin of victory in the...

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Which countries have Regrexit?

June 26, 2016
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Which countries have Regrexit?

This doesn't have a lot to do with bio part of biostatistics, but is an interesting data analysis that I just started. In the wake of the Brexit vote, there is a petition for a redo. The data for the petition is here, in JSON format.Fortunately, in R, ...

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Three ethical viewpoints applied to the Clinton email scandal

April 19, 2016
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Last week, I gave an invited talk at the INFORMS Analytics Conference on ethics in data analytics. This is a follow-up to the HBR article from last year. In the talk, I discussed the need to have some frameworks to think about ethics. There are three main ethical philosophies that one can use to make ethical arguments. *** The Hillary Clinton email scandal is a good place to apply these…

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Delegate maps need a color treatment

March 21, 2016
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Delegate maps need a color treatment

This year's U.S. primary elections have been very entertaining. Delegate maps are a handy way to keep track of the horse race. They provide data to support (or refute) the narratives created by reporters who use words like "landslide", "commanding",...

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How do you react to a probability forecast?

March 9, 2016
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How do you react to a probability forecast?

There is a healthy debate going on about last night's Michigan primary on the Democratic side, in which Bernie Sanders pulled off a major upset. Polls leading up to the primary put Hillary Clinton ahead by about 20 percent points. That would be a huge margin. Fivethirtyeight, which has been doing a stellar job covering the elections, uses polls heavily in generating forecasts, and they had predicted that Clinton would…

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For Whom Will the Michigan Mitt Swing?

March 8, 2016
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For Whom Will the Michigan Mitt Swing?

Tomorrow, March 8th, Michigan with 130 delegates gets to vote one which of the Democratic candidates, Hillary Clinton or Bernie Sanders should be the Democratic presidential nominee. Michigan is an important state because is represents a large number o...

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FALSE: Clinton Funded by "Grassroots"

March 1, 2016
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FALSE: Clinton Funded by "Grassroots"

The blatant distortions of reality put forth by the Clinton campaign are so offensive as to be laughable at times. In the victory speech of Hillary Clinton in South Carolina she spent a significant portion of it talking about how her campaign is financ...

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Overwhelming Growth In National Support for Bernie Sanders Mapped

February 25, 2016
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Overwhelming Growth In National Support for Bernie Sanders Mapped

The FEC just released the most recent campaign contributor data and the results show a strong continued widespread growth in support for Bernie Sanders across the country.Figure 1: A map of what counties and states support Bernie Sanders relative to th...

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Hillary 1993: Largest Drop in Girl Names EVER; Chelsea Distant Second

February 22, 2016
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Hillary 1993: Largest Drop in Girl Names EVER; Chelsea Distant Second

Recently, I wrote an little post that got a lot of attention and some criticism, As First Lady, Popularity of Babies Named "Hillary" Dropped by an Unprecedented 90%.The attention was likely due to the large number of people who are attempting to evaluate Hillary Clinton as a viable general election candidate. These people might rightly or wrongly assume that measures of popularity from her as First Lady are at least…

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Big Business Backs Hillary: Small Bernie

February 20, 2016
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Big Business Backs Hillary: Small Bernie

Big business, lawyers, and the financial sector are the largest campaign backers of Hillary Clinton. Collectively they represent 35.5 million dollars donated to her campaign, 38% of total itemized funds donated to the Clinton campaign in 2015. Bernie S...

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