Later this year, Anna, Mark, Nicky and I will organise and then teach on a 3-day workshop on Statistical Methods for the Value of Information Analysis. Not-quite-by-chance, this will happen exactly the week before the European Conference of t...

Egil Ferkingstad and Birgir Hrafnkelsson write: We have an exciting PhD position here at the University of Iceland on developing Bayesian hierarchical spatio-temporal models to the field of glaciology. Havard Rue at NTNU, Trondheim and Chris Wikle at the University of Missouri will also be part of the project. The Department of Mathematics at the […] The post Hey—go to Iceland and work on glaciers! appeared first on Statistical Modeling,…

Paul Alper points me to this article, Breast Cancer Screening, Incidence, and Mortality Across US Counties, by Charles Harding, Francesco Pompei, Dmitriy Burmistrov, Gilbert Welch, Rediet Abebe, and Richard Wilson. Their substantive conclusion is there’s too much screening going on, but here I want to focus on their statistical methods: Spline methods were used to […] The post Stunning breakthrough: Using Stan to map cancer screening! appeared first on Statistical…

We recently had an email discussion among the Stan team regarding the use of predictive accuracy in evaluating computing algorithms. I thought this could be of general interest so I’m sharing it here. It started when Bob said he’d been at a meting on probabilistic programming where there was confusion on evaluation. In particular, some […] The post TOP SECRET: Newly declassified documents on evaluating models based on predictive accuracy…

Here's a very long post, to make up for the recent silence on the blog... Lately, I've been working on a new project involving the use of survival analysis data and results, specifically for health economic evaluation (cue Cake's rendition below).I hav...

Peter Liberman writes: I’m working on a paper that, in the absence of a single survey that measured the required combination of variables, analyzes data collected by separate, uncoordinated Knowledge Networks surveys in 2003. My co-author (a social psychologist who commissioned one of the surveys) and I obtained from KN unique id numbers for all […] The post One quick tip for building trust in missing-data imputations? appeared first on…

Hiroki ITÔ (pictured) has done everyone a service in translating to Stan the example models [update: only chapters 3–8, not the whole book; the rest are in the works] from Marc Kéry and Michael Schaub (2012) Bayesian Population Analysis using WinBUGS: A Hierarchical Perspective. Academic Press. You can find the code in our example-models repository […] The post Kéry and Schaub’s Bayesian Population Analysis Translated to Stan appeared first on…

Jim Albert has a baseball blog: Baseball with R I sent a link internally to people I knew were into baseball, to which Andrew replied, “I agree that it’s cool that he doesn’t just talk, he has code.” (No kidding—the latest post as of writing this was on an R package to compute value above […] The post Jim Albert’s Baseball Blog appeared first on Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and…