Category: sunset

Bayesian econometrics in St. Andrews

A call I received for the incoming 2019 edition of the European Seminar on Bayesian Econometrics (ESOBE), sponsored by the EFaB section of ISBA, which is going to be held at the University of St Andrews in Scotland on Monday 2 and Tuesday 3 September, 2019. I have attended an earlier edition in Venezia and […]

revisiting the Gelman-Rubin diagnostic

Just before Xmas, Dootika Vats (Warwick) and Christina Knudson arXived a paper on a re-evaluation of the ultra-popular 1992 Gelman and Rubin MCMC convergence diagnostic. Which compares within-variance and between-variance on parallel chains started from hopefully dispersed initial values. Or equivalently an under-estimating and an over-estimating estimate of the MCMC average. In this paper, the […]