Posts Tagged ‘ statistics ’

Les sondages avaient tout faux en 2016? Ah bon?

February 22, 2017
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Les sondages avaient tout faux en 2016? Ah bon?

Allez, un dernier billet sur les sondages, d’autant plus que le débat de demain soir devrait porter (plus spécifiquement) sur les faillites sur sondages anglais et américains, de 2016. Alors comme ça les sondages seraient “faux” ? Je n’aime pas cette terminologie. J’ai l’impression que la confusion vient en grande partie du fait qu’on analyse, au final, un vote aux élection comme un référendum. C’est pour ça qu’on a tendance…

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The Zero Bug

February 21, 2017
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The Zero Bug

I am going to write about an insidious statistical, data analysis, and presentation fallacy I call “the zero bug” and the habits you need to cultivate to avoid it. The zero bug Here is the zero bug in a nutshell: common data aggregation tools often can not “count to zero” from examples, and this causes … Continue reading The Zero Bug

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coauthorship and citation networks

February 20, 2017
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coauthorship and citation networks

As I discovered (!) the Annals of Applied Statistics in my mailbox just prior to taking the local train to Dauphine for the first time in 2017 (!), I started reading it on the way, but did not get any further than the first discussion paper by Pengsheng Ji and Jiashun Jin on coauthorship and […]

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coauthorship and citation networks

February 20, 2017
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coauthorship and citation networks

As I discovered (!) the Annals of Applied Statistics in my mailbox just prior to taking the local train to Dauphine for the first time in 2017 (!), I started reading it on the way, but did not get any further than the first discussion paper by Pengsheng Ji and Jiashun Jin on coauthorship and […]

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coauthorship and citation networks

February 20, 2017
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coauthorship and citation networks

As I discovered (!) the Annals of Applied Statistics in my mailbox just prior to taking the local train to Dauphine for the first time in 2017 (!), I started reading it on the way, but did not get any further than the first discussion paper by Pengsheng Ji and Jiashun Jin on coauthorship and […]

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Déclarer ou révéler, retour sur les sondages

February 20, 2017
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Déclarer ou révéler, retour sur les sondages

Voilà une semaine, je mettais en ligne un court billet “les sondages et le bruit” sur les sondages, et leur biais, en préparation pour une intervention en milieu de semaine, sur Paris. Mais cette semaine, je voulais continuer à assembler mes notes de lecture… Déclarer ou révéler Bon, on va commencer par enfoncer des portes ouvertes, mais il est toujours bon de relire “l’opinion publique n’existe pas” de Bourdieu. Toute…

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A knapsack riddle [#2]?

February 16, 2017
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A knapsack riddle [#2]?

Still about this allocation riddle of the past week, and still with my confusion about the phrasing of the puzzle, when looking at a probabilistic interpretation of the game, rather than for a given adversary’s y, the problem turns out to search for the maximum of where the Y’s are Binomial B(100,p). Given those p’s, […]

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Educating the heart with maths and statistics

February 14, 2017
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Educating the heart with maths and statistics

What has love got to do with maths? This morning at the Twitter chat for teachers, (#bfc630nz) the discussion question was, How and what will you teach your students about life this year? As I lurked I was impressed at … Continue reading →

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Excel Histograms, enhanced with R.

February 13, 2017
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Most people are familiar with Excel Histograms and understand that data is divided into a series of intervals, or bins and then how many values are in each bin are counted. These counts or frequencies are then typically shown on a chart that uses a bar...

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a knapsack riddle?

February 12, 2017
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a knapsack riddle?

The [then current now past] riddle of the week is a sort of multiarmed bandits optimisation. Of sorts. Or rather a generalised knapsack problem. The question is about optimising the allocation of 100 undistinguishable units to 10 distinct boxes against a similarly endowed adversary, when the loss function is and the distribution q of the […]

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