Posts Tagged ‘ statistics ’

Don’t be misguided by the beauty of mathematics, if the data tells you otherwise

May 21, 2013
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Don’t be misguided by the beauty of mathematics, if the data tells you otherwise

I was trained as a mathematician and it was only last year, when I attended the Royal Statistical Society conference and met many statisticians that I understood how different the two groups are. In mathematics you often start with some axioms, things...

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More on Chutes & Ladders

May 20, 2013
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More on Chutes & Ladders

Matt Maenner asked about the sawtooth pattern in the figure in my last post on Chutes & Ladders. Damn you, Matt! I thought I was done with this. Don’t feed my obsession. My response was that if the game ends early, it’s even more likely that it’ll be the kid who went first who won. […]

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Mayo: Meanderings on the Onto-Methodology Conference

May 20, 2013
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Mayo: Meanderings on the Onto-Methodology Conference

Writing a blog like this, a strange and often puzzling exercise[1], does offer a forum for sharing half-baked chicken-scratchings from the back of frayed pages on themes from our Onto-Meth[2] conference from two weeks ago[3]. (The previous post had notes from blogger and attendee, Gandenberger.) Several of the talks reflect a push-back against the idea that […]

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Pedagogical Content Knowledge

May 19, 2013
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Pedagogical Content Knowledge

Pedagogical content knowledge for Statistics Pedagogical content knowledge means knowing how to teach a specific subject, discipline or context. There is a school of thought that the skill of teaching is transferable between subjects, so long as the teacher knows … Continue reading →

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Exploratory Data Analysis of Ozone Pollution in New York City – Descriptive Statistics

May 19, 2013
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Exploratory Data Analysis of Ozone Pollution in New York City – Descriptive Statistics

Introduction This is the first of a series of posts on exploratory data analysis (EDA).  This post will calculate the common summary statistics of a univariate continuous data set – the data on ozone pollution in New York City that is part of the built-in “CO2″ data set in R.  This is a particularly good data set […]

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Chutes & ladders: How long is this going to take?

May 17, 2013
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Chutes & ladders: How long is this going to take?

I was playing Chutes & Ladders with my four-year-old daughter yesterday, and I thought, “How long is this going to take?” I saw an interesting mathematical analysis of the game a few years ago, but it seems to be offline, though you can read it via the wayback machine. But that didn’t answer my specific […]

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Big News! “Practical Data Science with R” MEAP launched!

May 15, 2013
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Big News! “Practical Data Science with R” MEAP launched!

Nina Zumel and I ( John Mount ) have been working very hard on producing an exciting new book called “Practical Data Science with R.” The book has now entered Manning Early Access Program (MEAP) which allows you to subscribe to chapters as they become available and give us feedback before the book goes into [...] Related posts: Setting expectations in data science projects Data Science, Machine Learning, and Statistics:…

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More power brings more responsibility

May 15, 2013
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More power brings more responsibility

Nick C. on Twitter sent us to the following chart of salaries in Major League Soccer. (link) This chart is hosted at Tableau, which is one of the modern visualization software suites. It appears to be a user submission. Alas,...

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Forecasting annual totals from monthly data

May 15, 2013
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Forecasting annual totals from monthly data

This question was posed on crossvalidated.com: I have a monthly time series (for 2009–2012 non-stationary, with seasonality). I can use ARIMA (or ETS) to obtain point and interval forecasts for each month of 2013, but I am interested in forecasting the total for the whole year, including prediction intervals. Is there an easy way in R to obtain interval forecasts for the total for 2013? I’ve come across this problem…

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“A sense of security regarding the future of statistical science…” Anon review of Error and Inference

May 14, 2013
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“A sense of security regarding the future of statistical science…” Anon review of Error and Inference

Aris Spanos, my colleague and co-author (Economics),recently came across this seemingly anonymous review of our Error and Inference (2010) [E & I]. It’s interesting that the reviewer remarks that “The book gives a sense of security regarding the future of statistical science and its importance in many walks of life.” I wish I knew just what […]

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