Posts Tagged ‘ Sports ’

Why I think the top batting average will be higher than .311: Over-pooling of point predictions in Bayesian inference

October 19, 2017
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In a post from 22 May 2017 entitled, “Who is Going to Win the Batting Crown?”, Jim Albert writes: At this point in the season, folks are interested in extreme stats and want to predict final season measures. On the morning of Saturday May 20, here are the leading batting averages: Justin Turner .379 Ryan […] The post Why I think the top batting average will be higher than .311:…

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Baseball, apple pie, and Stan

October 16, 2017
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Ben sends along these two baseball job ads that mention experience with Stan as a preferred qualification: St. Louis Cardinals Baseball Development Analyst Tampa Bay Rays Baseball Research and Development Analyst The post Baseball, apple pie, and Stan ...

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Does racquetball save lives?

October 12, 2017
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Asher Meir points to this news report and writes: 8e5 people in study, about half reported exercising, about half not. About 10% died overall. So overall death rate difference of 28% is pretty remarkable. It means about 3500 deaths instead of 4500 for a similar sample size. But when you compare the rate of heart […] The post Does racquetball save lives? appeared first on Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and…

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Report from the NBA Hackathon 2017

September 25, 2017
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Report from the NBA Hackathon 2017

Kaiser Fung, founder of Junk Charts and Principal Analytics Prep, reports on his experience as a judge in the NBA Hackathon, held on September 23-24, 2017 in New York City.

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Further evidence that creativity and innovation are stimulated by college sports: Evidence from a big regression

September 25, 2017
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Kevin Lewis sent along this paper from the Creativity Research Journal: Further Evidence that Creativity and Innovation are Inhibited by Conservative Thinking: Analyses of the 2016 Presidential Election The investigation replicated and extended previous research showing a negative relationship between conservatism and creative accomplishment. Conservatism was estimated, as in previous research, from voting patterns. The […] The post Further evidence that creativity and innovation are stimulated by college sports: Evidence…

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Chess records page

September 24, 2017
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Chess records page (no, not on the first page, or the second page, or the third page, of a google search of *chess records*). There’s lots of good stuff here, enough to fill much of a book if you so desire. As we’ve discussed, chess games are in the public domain so if you take […] The post Chess records page appeared first on Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social…

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Will Stanton hit 61 home runs this season?

September 21, 2017
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Will Stanton hit 61 home runs this season?

[edit: Juho Kokkala corrected my homework. Thanks! I updated the post. Also see some further elaboration in my reply to Andrew’s comment. As Andrew likes to say …] So far, Giancarlo Stanton has hit 56 home runs in 555 at bats over 149 games. Miami has 10 games left to play. What’s the chance he’ll […] The post Will Stanton hit 61 home runs this season? appeared first on Statistical…

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As if the 2010s never happened

September 19, 2017
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E. J. writes: I’m sure I’m not the first to send you this beauty. Actually, E. J., you’re the only one who sent me this! It’s a news article, “Can the fear of death instantly make you a better athlete?”, reporting on a psychology experiment: For the first study, 31 male undergraduates who liked basketball […] The post As if the 2010s never happened appeared first on Statistical Modeling, Causal…

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SCANDAL: Florida State University football players held to the same low standards as George Mason University statistics faculty

September 2, 2017
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SCANDAL:  Florida State University football players held to the same low standards as George Mason University statistics faculty

Paul Alper points us to this news report: As the Florida State University football team was marching to a national title in the fall of 2013, the school was investigating allegations of academic favoritism involving a half-dozen of its leading players . . . The inquiry, previously unreported, stemmed from a complaint by a teaching […] The post SCANDAL: Florida State University football players held to the same low standards…

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Chris Moore, Guy Molyneux, Etan Green, and David Daniels on Bayesian umpires

August 27, 2017
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Kevin Lewis points us to a paper by Etan Green and David Daniels, who conclude that “decisions of [baseball] umpires reflect an accurate, probabilistic, and state-specific understanding of their rational expectations—as well as an ability to integrate those prior beliefs in a manner that approximates Bayes rule.” This is similar to what was found in […] The post Chris Moore, Guy Molyneux, Etan Green, and David Daniels on Bayesian umpires…

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