Posts Tagged ‘ Sports ’

Much more to do after selecting a chart form

March 6, 2017
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Much more to do after selecting a chart form

I sketched out this blog post right before the Superbowl - and was really worked up as I happened to be flying into Atlanta right after they won (well, according to any of our favorite "prediction engines," the Falcons had...

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Time Inc. stoops to the level of the American Society of Human Genetics and PPNAS?

January 9, 2017
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Time Inc. stoops to the level of the American Society of Human Genetics and PPNAS?

The post Time Inc. stoops to the level of the American Society of Human Genetics and PPNAS? appeared first on Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science.

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You Won’t BELIEVE How Trump Broke Up This Celebrity Couple!

December 23, 2016
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You Won’t BELIEVE How Trump Broke Up This Celebrity Couple!

A few months ago I asked if it was splitsville for tech zillionaire Peter Thiel and chess champion Garry Kasparov, after seeing this quote from Kasparov in April: Trump sells the myth of American success instead of the real thing. . . . It’s tempting to rally behind him-but we should resist. Because the New […] The post You Won’t BELIEVE How Trump Broke Up This Celebrity Couple! appeared first…

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Low correlation of predictions and outcomes is no evidence against hot hand

December 19, 2016
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Low correlation of predictions and outcomes is no evidence against hot hand

Josh Miller (of Miller & Sanjurjo) writes: On correlations, you know, the original Gilovich, Vallone, and Tversky paper found that the Cornell players’ “predictions” of their teammates’ shots correlated 0.04, on average. No evidence they can see the hot hand, right? Here is an easy correlation question: suppose Bob shoots with probability ph=.55 when he […] The post Low correlation of predictions and outcomes is no evidence against hot hand…

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Hey, I forgot to include a cat picture in my previous post!

December 7, 2016
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Hey, I forgot to include a cat picture in my previous post!

Josh Miller fixes it for me: The post Hey, I forgot to include a cat picture in my previous post! appeared first on Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science.

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a2

November 22, 2016
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a2

Wow. P.S. In the comment thread, Peter Dorman has an interesting discussion of Carlsen’s errors so far during the tournament. The post a2 appeared first on Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science.

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Josh Miller hot hand talks in NYC and Pittsburgh this week

November 15, 2016
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Josh Miller hot hand talks in NYC and Pittsburgh this week

Joshua Miller (the person who, with Adam Sanjurjo, discovered why the so-called “hot hand fallacy” is not really a fallacy) will be speaking on the topic this week. In New York, Thurs 17 Nov, 12:30pm, 19 W 4th St, room 517, Center for Experimental Social Science seminar. In Pittsburgh, Fri 18 Nov, 12pm, 4716 Posvsar […] The post Josh Miller hot hand talks in NYC and Pittsburgh this week appeared…

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“The Warriors suck”: A Bayesian exploration

October 29, 2016
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“The Warriors suck”:  A Bayesian exploration

A basketball fan of my close acquaintance woke up Wednesday morning and, upon learning the outcome of the first games of the NBA season, announced that “The Warriors suck.” Can we answer this question? To put it more precisely, how much information is supplied by that first-game-of-season blowout? Speaking Bayesianly, who much should we adjust […] The post “The Warriors suck”: A Bayesian exploration appeared first on Statistical Modeling, Causal…

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Some people are so easy to contact and some people aren’t.

October 16, 2016
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Some people are so easy to contact and some people aren’t.

I was reading Cowboys Full, James McManus’s entertaining history of poker (but way too much on the so-called World Series of Poker), and I skimmed the index to look up some of my favorite poker writers. Frank Wallace and David Spanier were both there but only got brief mentions in the text, I was disappointed […] The post Some people are so easy to contact and some people aren’t. appeared…

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No, I don’t think the Super Bowl is lowering birth weights

October 10, 2016
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No, I don’t think the Super Bowl is lowering birth weights

In a news article entitled, “Inequality might start before we’re even born,” Carolyn Johnson reports: Another study, forthcoming in the Journal of Human Resources, analyzed birth outcomes in counties where the home team goes to the Super Bowl. . . . The researchers found that women in their first trimester whose home team played in […] The post No, I don’t think the Super Bowl is lowering birth weights appeared…

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