Posts Tagged ‘ Political Science ’

July 4th

July 4, 2015
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Lucky to have been born an American. The post July 4th appeared first on Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science.

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Recently in the sister blog

July 1, 2015
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Recently in the sister blog

When is the death penalty okay? A court with no Protestants How much does advertising matter in presidential elections? Bartenders are Democrats, beer wholesalers are Republicans The ambiguity of racial categories No, public opinion is not driven by ‘unreasoning bias and emotion’ Political science: Who is it for? Modern campaigning has big effects on voter […] The post Recently in the sister blog appeared first on Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference,…

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A note from John Lott

June 29, 2015
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The other day, I wrote: It’s been nearly 20 years since the last time there was a high-profile report of a social science survey that turned out to be undocumented. I’m referring to the case of John Lott, who said he did a survey on gun use in 1997, but, in the words of Wikipedia, […] The post A note from John Lott appeared first on Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference,…

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Our new column in the Daily Beast

June 25, 2015
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Kaiser Fung and I have a new weekly column for the Daily Beast. After much deliberation, we gave it the title Statbusters (the runner-up choice was Dirty Data; my personal preference was Statboyz in the Hood, but, hey, who ever listens to me on anything?). The column will appear every Saturday, and Kaiser and I […] The post Our new column in the Daily Beast appeared first on Statistical Modeling,…

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When the counterintuitive becomes the norm, arguments get twisted out of shape

June 24, 2015
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I was bothered by a recent post on the sister blog. The post was by political scientist David Fortunato and it was called, Would “concealed carry” have stopped Dylann Roof’s church shooting spree?. What bugged me in particular was this sentence: On its face, the claim that increasing the number of gun carriers would reduce […] The post When the counterintuitive becomes the norm, arguments get twisted out of shape…

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The David Brooks files: How many uncorrected mistakes does it take to be discredited?

June 16, 2015
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The David Brooks files:  How many uncorrected mistakes does it take to be discredited?

OK, why am I writing this? We all know that New York Times columnist David Brooks deals in false statistics, he’s willing and able to get factual matters wrong, he doesn’t even fact-check his own reporting, his response when people point out his mistakes is irritation rather than thanks, he won’t run a correction even […] The post The David Brooks files: How many uncorrected mistakes does it take to…

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Michael LaCour in 20 years

June 16, 2015
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Michael LaCour in 20 years

In case you were wondering what “Bruno” Lacour will be doing a couple decades from now . . . James Delaney pointed me to this CNN news article, “Connecticut’s strict gun law linked to large homicide drop” by Carina Storrs: The rate of gun-related murders fell sharply in the 10 years after Connecticut implemented a […] The post Michael LaCour in 20 years appeared first on Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference,…

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“The psychologists are getting a hard time for doing what they do, whereas people doing real harm to society are happily roaming around like free range chicken”

June 8, 2015
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“The psychologists are getting a hard time for doing what they do, whereas people doing real harm to society are happily roaming around like free range chicken”

Shravan Vasishth writes: At least people like Amy Cuddy are just doing bullshit research that’s harmless (after all, raising your arms up high before an interview is unlikely to hurt society much). But check out this MIT “Professor” explaining the “statistically significant” autism-vaccine “connection”: She even takes a notorious, fraudulent, and retracted Lancet article as […] The post “The psychologists are getting a hard time for doing what they do,…

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What to do to train to apply statistical models to political science and public policy issues

June 7, 2015
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Taylor Good writes: I am a graduate of a state school with a BS in Math and a BA in Political Science, and I was wondering if you could give me some career advice. Knowing how you got to where you are now, what path would you advise someone to take to get to where […] The post What to do to train to apply statistical models to political science…

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“History is the prediction of the present”

June 6, 2015
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Ethan Bolker sent me an email with the above title and wrote: That’s the first sentence of a Louis Menand book review in the March 30 New Yorker. It touches on some ideas you play with. If you haven’t seen it, you might put it on your (long?) queue of things to read, maybe blog […] The post “History is the prediction of the present” appeared first on Statistical Modeling,…

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