Posts Tagged ‘ Birnbaum Brakes ’

Midnight With Birnbaum (Happy New Year)

December 31, 2015
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Midnight With Birnbaum (Happy New Year)

 Just as in the past 4 years since I’ve been blogging, I revisit that spot in the road at 11p.m., just outside the Elbar Room, get into a strange-looking taxi, and head to “Midnight With Birnbaum”. (The pic on the left is the only blurry image I have of the club I’m taken to.) I wonder […]

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“Intentions” is the new code word for “error probabilities”: Allan Birnbaum’s Birthday

May 27, 2015
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“Intentions” is the new code word for “error probabilities”: Allan Birnbaum’s Birthday

Today is Allan Birnbaum’s Birthday. Birnbaum’s (1962) classic “On the Foundations of Statistical Inference,” in Breakthroughs in Statistics (volume I 1993), concerns a principle that remains at the heart of today’s controversies in statistics–even if it isn’t obvious at first: the Likelihood Principle (LP) (also called the strong likelihood Principle SLP, to distinguish it from the […]

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Midnight With Birnbaum (Happy New Year)

December 31, 2014
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Midnight With Birnbaum (Happy New Year)

 Just as in the past 3 years since I’ve been blogging, I revisit that spot in the road at 11p.m.*,just outside the Elbar Room, get into a strange-looking taxi, and head to “Midnight With Birnbaum”. I wonder if they’ll come for me this year, given that my Birnbaum article is out… This is what the place […]

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Statistical Science: The Likelihood Principle issue is out…!

September 7, 2014
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Statistical Science: The Likelihood Principle issue is out…!

Abbreviated Table of Contents: Here are some items for your Saturday-Sunday reading.  Link to complete discussion:  Mayo, Deborah G. On the Birnbaum Argument for the Strong Likelihood Principle (with discussion & rejoinder). Statistical Science 29 (2014), no. 2, 227-266. Links to individual papers: Mayo, Deborah G. On the Birnbaum Argument for the Strong Likelihood Principle. Statistical […]

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Allan Birnbaum, Philosophical Error Statistician: 27 May 1923 – 1 July 1976

May 27, 2014
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Allan Birnbaum, Philosophical Error Statistician:  27 May 1923 – 1 July 1976

Today is Allan Birnbaum’s Birthday. Birnbaum’s (1962) classic “On the Foundations of Statistical Inference” is in Breakthroughs in Statistics (volume I 1993).  I’ve a hunch that Birnbaum would have liked my rejoinder to discussants of my forthcoming paper (Statistical Science): Bjornstad, Dawid, Evans, Fraser, Hannig, and Martin and Liu. I hadn’t realized until recently that all of this is up […]

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Putting the brakes on the breakthrough: An informal look at the argument for the Likelihood Principle

May 1, 2014
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Putting the brakes on the breakthrough: An informal look at the argument for the Likelihood Principle

Friday, May 2, 2014, I will attempt to present my critical analysis of the Birnbaum argument for the (strong) Likelihood Principle, so as to be accessible to a general philosophy audience (flyer below). Can it be done? I don’t know yet, this is a first. It will consist of: Example 1: Trying and Trying Again: Optional stopping […]

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Forthcoming paper on the strong likelihood principle

November 4, 2013
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Forthcoming paper on the strong likelihood principle

My paper, “On the Birnbaum Argument for the Strong Likelihood Principle” has been accepted by Statistical Science. The latest version is here. (It differs from all versions posted anywhere). If you spot any typos, please let me know (error@vt.edu). If you can’t open this link, please write to me and I’ll send it directly. As always, […]

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Blogging (flogging?) the SLP: Response to Reply- Xi’an Robert

August 2, 2013
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Blogging (flogging?) the SLP: Response to Reply- Xi’an Robert

Christian Robert’s reply grows out of my last blogpost. On Xi’an’s Og : A quick reply from my own Elba, in the Dolomiti: your arguments (about the sad consequences of the SLP) are not convincing wrt the derivation of SLP=WCP+SP. If I built a procedure that reports (E1,x*) whenever I observe (E1,x*) or (E2,y*), this obeys […]

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U-Phil: Mayo’s response to Hennig and Gandenberger

February 11, 2013
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U-Phil: Mayo’s response to Hennig and Gandenberger

“This will be my last post on the (irksome) Birnbaum argument!” she says with her fingers (or perhaps toes) crossed. But really, really it is (at least until midnight 2013). In fact the following brief remarks are all said, more clearly, in my PAPER , Mayo 2010, Cox & Mayo 2011 (appendix), and in posts connected to this U-Phil: Blogging [...]

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U-Phil: Ton o’ Bricks

February 2, 2013
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U-Phil: Ton o’ Bricks

by Deborah Mayo Birnbaum’s argument for the SLP involves some equivocations that are at once subtle and blatant. The subtlety makes it hard to translate into symbolic logic (I only partially translated it). Philosophers should have a field day with this, and I should be hearing more reports that it has suddenly hit them between [...]

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