Happy talk, meet the Edlin factor

May 12, 2016
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Mark Palko points us to this op-ed in which psychiatrist Richard Friedman writes: There are also easy and powerful ways to enhance learning in young people. For example, there is intriguing evidence that the attitude that young people have about their own intelligence — and what their teachers believe — can have a big impact […] The post Happy talk, meet the Edlin factor appeared first on Statistical Modeling, Causal…

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googleformr at Work: Pneumatic Road Tube Allegory

May 12, 2016
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googleformr at Work: Pneumatic Road Tube Allegory

Steve Simpson (@data_steve) created the googleformr package to enable users to easily send information to a Google Form.  It’s a nice way to send and securely store data via R and the price is great…FREE! A Pneumatic Road Tube Allegory…Kinda … Continue reading →

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SSA helping you find a job

SSA helping you find a job

One of the great services of the Statistical Society of Australia is an excellent jobs board advertising available jobs for statisticians, data analysts, data scientists, etc. Jobs can be filtered by industry, location and job function. Today the SSA a...

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Super-informative ping-pong graphic

May 11, 2016
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Super-informative ping-pong graphic

Via Twitter, Mike W. asked me to comment on this WSJ article about ping pong tables. According to the article, ping pong table sales track venture-capital deal flow: This chart is super-informative. I learned a lot from this chart, including:...

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Great Yield Curve Graphic

May 11, 2016
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Great Yield Curve Graphic

I'm giving an overview lecture today on certain aspects of yield curves and their modeling, which reminds me of this phenomenal NYT interactive graphic.  CLICK HERE to get going, and give it time to load.  Then click "next" to go through nine...

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MAPKIA 2: Josh and Drew shred the CCP/APPC “Political Polarization Literacy” test!

May 11, 2016
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MAPKIA 2:  Josh and Drew shred the CCP/APPC “Political Polarization Literacy” test!

Just like the original Jaws 2, this story features neither Richard Dreyfus nor Steven Spielberg. It all started when Dan Kahan sent me the following puzzle: Match the resonses of large nationally representative sample to supporting these policy items. I let this languish in my inbox for awhile until Kahan taunted me by letting me […] The post MAPKIA 2: Josh and Drew shred the CCP/APPC “Political Polarization Literacy” test!…

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Ten tips before you run an optimization

May 11, 2016
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Ten tips before you run an optimization

Optimization is a primary tool of computational statistics. SAS/IML software provides a suite of nonlinear optimizers that makes it easy to find an optimum for a user-defined objective function. You can perform unconstrained optimization, or define linear or nonlinear constraints for constrained optimization. Over the years I have seen many […] The post Ten tips before you run an optimization appeared first on The DO Loop.

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The Real Lesson for Data Science That is Demonstrated by Palantir’s Struggles

May 11, 2016
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The Real Lesson for Data Science That is Demonstrated by Palantir’s Struggles

Buzzfeed recently published a long article on the struggles of the secretive data science company, Palantir. Over the last 13 months, at least three top-tier corporate clients have walked away, including Coca-Cola, American Express, and Nasdaq, acc...

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AISTATS 2016 [#1]

May 10, 2016
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AISTATS 2016 [#1]

Travelling through Seville, I arrived in Càdiz on Sunday night, along with a massive depression [weather-speaking!]. Walking through the city from the station was nonetheless pleasant as this is an town full of small streets and nice houses. If with less churches than Seville! Richard Samworth gave the first plenary talk of AISTATS 2016  with […]

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Big Belly Roti on Amsterdam Ave and 123 St

May 10, 2016
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Big Belly Roti on Amsterdam Ave and 123 St

Josh “hot hand” Miller was in town and a bunch of us went to this new Caribbean place around the corner. It was good! P.S. The other hot hand guy, Sanjurjo, is not in town. The post Big Belly Roti on Amsterdam Ave and 123 St appeared fir...

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Probability is hard: part four

May 10, 2016
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Probability is hard: part four

This is the fourth part of a series of posts about conditional probability and Bayesian statistics.In the first article, I presented the Red Dice problem, which is a warm-up problem that might help us make sense of the other problems.In the s...

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What’s the motivation to do experiments on motivation?

May 10, 2016
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What’s the motivation to do experiments on motivation?

Bill Harris writes: Do you or your readers have any insights into the research that underlays Dan Pink’s work on motivation and Tom Wujec’s (or Peter Skillman’s) work on iterative development?  They make intuitive sense to me (but may be counterintuitive to others), but I don’t know much more about them. Pink’s work is summarized […] The post What’s the motivation to do experiments on motivation? appeared first on Statistical…

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The Access to Justice Lab at Harvard Law School: Job Openings!

May 10, 2016
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Jim Greiner writes: The Access to Justice Lab is a startup effort, initially supported by the Laura and John Arnold Foundation with sufficient funds for three years, headed by Jim Greiner at Harvard Law School. The Lab will produce randomized control trials (“RCTs”) directly involving courts and lawyers, particularly in the areas of access to […] The post The Access to Justice Lab at Harvard Law School: Job Openings! appeared…

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A means not an end – building a social media presence as a junior scientist

May 10, 2016
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Editor’s note - This is a chapter from my book How to be a modern scientist where I talk about some of the tools and techniques that scientists have available to them now that they didn’t before. 50% of all royalties from the book go to support Dat...

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The Mad Hatter Explains Support Vector Machines

May 9, 2016
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The Mad Hatter Explains Support Vector Machines

"Hatter?" asked Alice, "Why are support vector machines so hard to understand?" Suddenly, before you can ask yourself why Alice is studying machine learning in the middle of the 19th century, the Hatter disappeared. "Where did he go?" thought Alice as ...

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The Mad Hatter Explains Support Vector Machines

May 9, 2016
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The Mad Hatter Explains Support Vector Machines

"Hatter?" asked Alice, "Why are support vector machines so hard to understand?" Suddenly, before you can ask yourself why Alice is studying machine learning in the middle of the 19th century, the Hatter disappeared. "Where did he go?" thought Alice as ...

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Bill James does model checking

May 9, 2016
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Bill James does model checking

Regular readers will know that Bill James was one of my inspirations for becoming a statistician. I happened to be browsing through the Bill James Historical Baseball Abstract the other day and came across this passage on Glenn Hubbard, who he ranks as the 88th best second baseman of all time: Total Baseball has Glenn […] The post Bill James does model checking appeared first on Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference,…

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On the Origin of "Forecasts"

May 9, 2016
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The word forecasts, that is. From the BBC Magazine, http://www.bbc.com/news/magazine-32483678:One hundred and fifty years ago Admiral Robert FitzRoy, the celebrated sailor and founder of the Met Office, took his own life. One newspaper reported the ne...

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Dreadful analysis shows the importance of numbersense

May 9, 2016
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Last year, Gizmodo capitalized on the fallout from the Ashley Madison hacking scandal and published a sensational article claiming the website that, if you haven't heard, promotes adultery, has "almost no" real women on it. The subtext is that millions of gullible, disloyal males were paying monthly fees to the website to do nothing or, cue the laugh track, to converse with "badly-designed robots." These men, according to Gizmodo, were…

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Dreadful analysis shows the importance of numbersense

May 9, 2016
By

Last year, Gizmodo capitalized on the fallout from the Ashley Madison hacking scandal and published a sensational article claiming the website that, if you haven't heard, promotes adultery, has "almost no" real women on it. The subtext is that millions of gullible, disloyal males were paying monthly fees to the website to do nothing or, cue the laugh track, to converse with "badly-designed robots." These men, according to Gizmodo, were…

Read more »

Probability is hard: part three

May 9, 2016
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Probability is hard: part three

This is the third part of a series of posts about conditional probability and Bayesian statistics.In the first article, I presented the Red Dice problem, which is a warm-up problem that might help us make sense of the other problems.In the second ...

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On deck this week

May 9, 2016
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Mon: Bill James does model checking Tues: What’s the motivation to do experiments on motivation? Wed: Happy talk, meet the Edlin factor Thurs: FDA approval of generic drugs: The untold story Fri: Acupuncture paradox update Sat: Point summary of...

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How to be Bayesian and spare yourself a dreadful afternoon with your stupid football team losing the derby

May 9, 2016
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How to be Bayesian and spare yourself a dreadful afternoon with your stupid football team losing the derby

Yesterday was the second-last game of the Italian Serie A; I've been a Sampdoria supported since I was 12 $-$ at that time, they were starting to become one of the best clubs in Serie A (and that was back in the 80's when Serie A was arguably the best ...

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