Attention conservation notice: Navel-gazing. Paper manuscripts completed: 4 Papers accepted: 3 Papers rejected: 4 (fools! we'll show you all!) Papers in revise-and-resubmit purgatory: 2 Papers in refereeing limbo: 1 Papers with co-authors waitin...

Attention conservation notice: Navel-gazing. Paper manuscripts completed: 4 Papers accepted: 3 Papers rejected: 4 (fools! we'll show you all!) Papers in revise-and-resubmit purgatory: 2 Papers in refereeing limbo: 1 Papers with co-authors waitin...

There’s lots of overlap but I put each paper into only one category. Also, I’ve included work that has been published in 2013 as well as work that has been completed this year and might appear in 2014 or later. So you can can think of this list as representing roughly two years’ work. Political […]The post 2013 appeared first on Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science.

I teach several courses every year and the most difficult to pull off is FORE224/STAT202: regression modeling. The academic promotion application form in my university includes a section on one’s ‘teaching philosophy’. I struggle with that part because I suspect I lack anything as grandiose as a philosophy when teaching: as most university lecturers I […]

I often need to build a predictive model that estimates rates. The example of our age is: ad click through rates (how often a viewer clicks on an ad estimated as a function of the features of the ad and the viewer). Another timely example is estimating default rates of mortgages or credit cards. You […] Related posts: What does a generalized linear model do? The equivalence of logistic regression…

Etienne LeBel writes: You’ve probably already seen it, but I thought you could have a lot of fun with this one!! The article, with the admirably clear title given above, is by James McNulty, Michael Olson, Andrea Meltzer, Matthew Shaffer, and begins as follows: For decades, social psychological theories have posited that the automatic processes […]The post “Though They May Be Unaware, Newlyweds Implicitly Know Whether Their Marriage Will Be…

Just to elaborate on our post from last month (“I’m negative on the expression ‘false positives’”), here’s a recent exchange exchange we had regarding the relevance of yes/no decisions in summarizing statistical inferences about scientific questions. Shravan wrote: Isn’t it true that I am already done if P(theta>0) is much larger than P(thetaThe post No on Yes/No decisions appeared first on Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science.

Posts by page views Interview with a forced convert to R from Matlab A first step towards R from spreadsheets Plot ranges of data in R A statistical review of ‘Thinking, Fast and Slow’ by Daniel Kahneman The 3 dots construct in R Translating between R and SQL: the basics An R debugging example R […] The post Blog recap of 2013 appeared first on Burns Statistics.

There is a lot of noise around the "R versus Contender X" for Data Science. I think the two main competitors right now that I hear about are Python and Julia. I'm not going to weigh into the debates because … Continue reading →

Introduction In the previous post I outlined why I think Scala is a good language for statistical computing and data science. In this post I want to give a quick taste of Scala and the Breeze numerical library to whet the appetite of the uninitiated. This post certainly won’t provide enough material to get started […]

Under the subject line “Blog bait!”, Brendan Nyhan points me to this post at the Washington Post blog: For 2013, we asked some of the year’s most interesting, important and influential thinkers to name their favorite graph of the year — and why they chose it. Here’s Bill Gates’s. Infographic by Thomas Porostocky for WIRED. […]The post Bill Gates’s favorite graph of the year appeared first on Statistical Modeling, Causal…

Highlights of the blog over the past year. Most popular posts The posts with the most hits during the year. A practical introduction to garch modeling (posted in 2012) A tale of two returns (posted in 2010) The top 7 portfolio optimization problems (posted in 2012) The number 1 novice quant mistake (posted in 2011) On smart beta … Continue reading →

Govind Manian points me to this online textbook by Alex Reinhart. It’s hard for me to evaluate because I am so close to the material. But on first glance it looks pretty reasonable to me. The post “Statistics Done Wrong” appeared fi...

I had invited Larry to give an update, and I’m delighted that he has! The discussion relates to the last post (by Spanos), which follows upon my deconstruction of Wasserman*. So, for your Saturday night reading pleasure, join me** in reviewing this and the past two blogs and the links within. “Wasserman on Wasserman: Update! […]