While we were eating a forkful of what was supposed to be a frittata, but turned out to be very fluffy mushroom scrambled eggs earlier, we were half watching an episode of The Big Bang Theory. Long story short, my eye was caught by Sheldon ex...

The following should be catnip for Andrew. It combines (a) statistics on baby names, (b) time series, and (c) statistics broken down by state. All in one really fun animated visualization by Reuben Fischer-Baum: Sixty Years of the Most Popular Names for Girls As Mark Liberman commented in his re-post on Language Log, this data […]The post Most Popular Girl Names by State over Time appeared first on Statistical Modeling,…

I am sad to report that Lawrence R. Klein has passed away. He was in many respects the father of modern econometrics and empirical macroeconomics; indeed his 1980 Nobel Prize citation was "for the creation of econometric models and their application to...

During Saturday's ALCS game 6 the Red Sox's manager John Farrell took out his starter in the 6th inning. They were leading by 1, but had runners on first and second with no outs. This is a hard situation to … Continue reading →

In connection with this workshop, I was asked to write a few paragraphs describing my perspective on “the current and near-term future state of the statistical sciences you are most familiar with.” Here’s what I wrote: I think that, at any given time, the field of statistics has a core, but that core changes over […]The post The future (and past) of statistical sciences appeared first on Statistical Modeling, Causal…

Sometimes you can derive a probability distributions from a list of properties it must have. For example, there are several properties that lead inevitably to the normal distribution or the Poisson distribution. Although such derivations are attractive, they don’t apply that often, and they’re suspect when they do apply. There’s often some effect that keeps […]

When I’m asked for a good book about visualization, I usually try to change the subject. There is no book I really love, they all have their issues. But thanks to Isabel Meirelles, I can now give a straight answer: Design for Information. In the interest of full disclosure: I was sent a free copy […]

I have to admit the rather embarrassing fact that Machine Learning, A probabilistic perspective by Kevin P. Murphy is the first machine learning book I really read in detail…! It is a massive book with close to 1,100 pages and I thus hesitated taking it with me around, until I grabbed it in my bag […]

Rohin Dhar writes: The Priceonomics blog is doing a feature where we ask a few economists what they think of the the institution of tenure. If you’d be interested in participating, I’d love to get your response. As an economist, what do you think of tenure? Should it be abolished / kept / modified? My […]The post The institution of tenure appeared first on Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social…

*addition of note [2]. A long-running research program in philosophy is to seek a quantitative measure C(h,x) to capture intuitive ideas about “confirmation” and about “confirmational relevance”. The components of C(h,x) are allowed to be any statements, no reference to a probability model or to joint distributions are required. Then h is “confirmed” or supported […]

Recently, Yu-Sung Su and Masanao Yajima, the developers of the R2jags package, have released a new version (the current one is 0.03-11). As far as I understand it, one of the main changes is that since the update, R2jags no longer depend...

Dan Gerlanc writes: I read your post the other day [now the other month, as our blog is on a bit of a delay] on helping psychologists do research and thought you might be interested in our R package, “bootES”, for robust effect size calculation and confidence interval estimation using resampling techniques. The package provides […]The post R package for effect size calculations for psychology researchers appeared first on Statistical…

Those are Williams designs you might say, but it has become clear to me that Williams designs are just a subset of all carry-over balanced designs. Not through hard work of mine, comments by Apn on my previous post Creating Williams designs with e...