It embarrasses me to look back on how I taught statistics ten years ago. Were I still teaching in a university, I would not be teaching the same things the same way I did then. I did the best I … Continue reading →

The U.S. Council of Economic Advisors has a nice new review of "Gross Domestic Output" (GDO), a simple average of expenditure- and income-side GDP estimates now published by the BEA.In an earlier post I wrote rather negatively about GDO ...

Somebody writes writes: I am conducting a survival analysis (median follow up ~10 years) of subjects who enrolled on a prospective, non-randomized clinical trial for newly diagnosed multiple myeloma. The data were originally collected for research purposes and specifically to determine PFS and OS of the investigational regimen versus historic controls. The trial has been […] The post Performing design calculations (type M and type S errors) on a routine…

The Open Science Collaboration, a team led by psychology researcher Brian Nosek, organized the replication of 100 published psychology experiments. They report: A large portion of replications produced weaker evidence for the original findings despite using materials provided by the original authors, review in advance for methodological fidelity, and high statistical power to detect the […] The post New paper on psychology replication appeared first on Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference,…

Ben Frisch writes: I am designing a semester long non-AP Statistics course for high school juniors and seniors. I am wondering if you had some advice for the design of my class. My currentthinking for the design of the class includes: 0) Brief introduction to R/ R Studio and descriptive statistics and data sheet structure. […] The post A political sociological course on statistics for high school students appeared first…

I am teaching part of a short-course on Data Science for Managers from 10–12 October in Melbourne. Course Overview The impact of Data Science on modern business is second only to the introduction of computers. And yet, for many businesses the barrier of entry remains too high due to lack of knowhow, organisational inertia, difficulties […]

When creating charts, it’s important to pick the one that actually fits not just the data, but the task. That can require going outside your comfort zone to use something beyond the four or five most common chart types. Here is an example where the original chart does not support comparison between two different sets of numbers, … Continue reading The Point Of A Chart

In conjunction with our reliable ABC model choice via random forest paper, about to be resubmitted to Bioinformatics, we have contributed an R package called abcrf that produces a most likely model and its posterior probability out of an ABC reference table. In conjunction with the realisation that we could devise an approximation to the […]

Nadia Hassan points me to this post by Matthew Yglesias, who writes: Here’s a very cool data visualization from HowMuch.net that took me a minute to figure out because it’s a little bit unorthodox. The way it works is that it visualizes the entire world’s economic output as a circle. That circle is then subdivided […] The post Vizzy vizzy vizzy viz appeared first on Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and…

Jens Christensen will give a Euro-Area Business Cycle Network three-day course at EUI, September 7-9. Jens is fantastic. Plus it's Florence in early September. It's not too late to register!Course SyllabusRecommended Reading ListCourse ScheduleLis...

Ugh! Your favorite regression procedure just printed a warning to the SAS log. Something is wrong, and your attempt to fit a model to the data has not succeeded. A typical message is "WARNING: The validity of the model fit is questionable," perhaps followed by some additional diagnostic messages about […] The post Monitor convergence during simulation studies in SAS appeared first on The DO Loop.

Stan v1.0.0 was released on August 30, 2012. We’ve come a long way since. If you’re around and want to celebrate with some Stan developers and users, feel free to join us: Monday, August 31. 6 – 9 pm Untamed Sandwiches 43 W 39th St New York, NY If you didn’t know, we also have […] The post Stan’s 3rd birthday! appeared first on Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social…

Deborah Mayo writes: I’m very curious as to how you would answer this for subjective Bayesians, at least. I found this section of my book showed various positions, not in agreement. I responded on her blog: As we discuss in BDA and elsewhere, one can think of one’s statistical model, at any point in time, […] The post “Can you change your Bayesian prior?” appeared first on Statistical Modeling, Causal…

Editor's Note: We are again pleased to interview the COPSS President's award winner. The COPSS Award is one of the most prestigious in statistics, sometimes called the Nobel Prize in statistics. This year the award went to John Storey who also won the Mortimer Spiegelman award for his outstanding contribution to public health statistics. This interview is