Isn’t sad that all that matters in an election is the candidate’s height?

September 15, 2015
By
Isn’t sad that all that matters in an election is the candidate’s height?

The candidate’s height may be very important in elections. I came across the claim in the US press suggesting that the taller the candidate, the better his/her chances for success in presidential elections. After a little search, I found this Wi...

Read more »

Isn’t sad that all that matters in an election is the candidate’s height?

September 15, 2015
By
Isn’t sad that all that matters in an election is the candidate’s height?

The candidate’s height may be very important in elections. I came across the claim in the US press suggesting that the taller the candidate, the better his/her chances for success in presidential elections. After a little search, I found this Wi...

Read more »

Isn’t sad that all that matters in an election is the candidate’s height?

September 15, 2015
By
Isn’t sad that all that matters in an election is the candidate’s height?

The candidate’s height may be very important in elections. I came across the claim in the US press suggesting that the taller the candidate, the better his/her chances for success in presidential elections. After a little search, I found this Wi...

Read more »

Isn’t sad that all that matters in an election is the candidate’s height?

September 15, 2015
By
Isn’t sad that all that matters in an election is the candidate’s height?

The candidate’s height may be very important in elections. I came across the claim in the US press suggesting that the taller the candidate, the better his/her chances for success in presidential elections. After a little search, I found this Wi...

Read more »

Isn’t sad that all that matters in an election is the candidate’s height?

September 15, 2015
By
Isn’t sad that all that matters in an election is the candidate’s height?

The candidate’s height may be very important in elections. I came across the claim in the US press suggesting that the taller the candidate, the better his/her chances for success in presidential elections. After a little search, I found this Wi...

Read more »

Isn’t sad that all that matters in an election is the candidate’s height?

September 15, 2015
By
Isn’t sad that all that matters in an election is the candidate’s height?

The candidate’s height may be very important in elections. I came across the claim in the US press suggesting that the taller the candidate, the better his/her chances for success in presidential elections. After a little search, I found this Wi...

Read more »

“Reproducibility and Reliability in Statistical and Data Driven Research” (Week after Next Coming Soon at the Statistics Seminar)

September 14, 2015
By

Attention conservation notice: Publicity for an upcoming academic talk, of interest only if (1) you will be in Pittsburgh and (2) you care about whether scientific research can be reproduced. The timeliness of the opening talk of this year's statisti...

Read more »

How to Prepare for a PhD in Biostatistics

September 14, 2015
By
How to Prepare for a PhD in Biostatistics

How would you advise an undergraduate interested in a PhD to prepare for studying biostats? More math. You can't be too rich or know too much math. In terms of courses, take more mathematics, take as much as you can. When you get into our biostatisti...

Read more »

How do you know if your model is going to work? Part 3: Out of sample procedures

September 14, 2015
By
How do you know if your model is going to work? Part 3: Out of sample procedures

Authors: John Mount (more articles) and Nina Zumel (more articles). When fitting and selecting models in a data science project, how do you know that your final model is good? And how sure are you that it’s better than the models that you rejected? In this Part 3 of our four part mini-series “How do … Continue reading How do you know if your model is going to work? Part…

Read more »

Review of The Martian

September 14, 2015
By
Review of The Martian

I actually read this a couple months ago after Bob recommended it to me. I don’t know why I did this, given that the last book Bob recommended to me, I hated, but in this case I made a good choice. The Martian was excellent and was indeed hard to set down. Recently I’ve been […] The post Review of The Martian appeared first on Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and…

Read more »

On deck this week

September 14, 2015
By

Mon: Review of The Martian Tues: Even though it’s published in a top psychology journal, she still doesn’t believe it Wed: Turbulent Studies, Rocky Statistics: Publicational Consequences of Experiencing Inferential Instability Thurs: Medical de...

Read more »

Cochrane on Point vs. Density Forecasting

September 14, 2015
By

I recently blogged on Manski's call for uncertainty estimates for economic statistics.  Of course we should also acknowledge the uncertainty in economic forecasts (with or without acknowledgment of data uncertainty, and with is better than without...

Read more »

Generate evenly spaced points in an interval

September 14, 2015
By
Generate evenly spaced points in an interval

I've previously written about how to generate a sequence of evenly spaced points in an interval. Evenly spaced data is useful for scoring a regression model on an interval. In the previous articles the endpoints of the interval were hard-coded. However, it is common to want to evaluate a function […] The post Generate evenly spaced points in an interval appeared first on The DO Loop.

Read more »

War, Numbers and Human Losses

September 13, 2015
By

That’s the title of Mike Spagat’s new blog. In his most recent post, Spagat disputes the the claim that “at least 240,000 Syrians have died violently since the civil war flared up four years ago.” I am not an expert in this area so I offer no judgment on these particular numbers, but in any […] The post War, Numbers and Human Losses appeared first on Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference,…

Read more »

Advice to other journal editors

September 13, 2015
By
Advice to other journal editors

I get asked to review journal papers almost every day, and I have to say no to almost all of them. I know it is hard to find reviewers, but many of these requests indicate very lazy editors. So to all the editors out there looking for reviewers, here is some advice. Never ask someone who […]

Read more »

Yes.

September 12, 2015
By

Reflecting on the recent psychology replication study (see also here), journalist Megan McArdle writes an excellent column on why we fall for bogus research: The problem is not individual research papers, or even the field of psychology. It’s the way that academic culture filters papers, and the way that the larger society gets their results. […] The post Yes. appeared first on Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science.

Read more »

(Part 2) Peircean Induction and the Error-Correcting Thesis

September 12, 2015
By
(Part 2) Peircean Induction and the Error-Correcting Thesis

Continuation of “Peircean Induction and the Error-Correcting Thesis” Deborah G. Mayo Transactions of the Charles S. Peirce Society: A Quarterly Journal in American Philosophy, Volume 41, Number 2, 2005, pp. 299-319 Part 1 is here. There are two other points of confusion in critical discussions of the SCT, that we may note here: I. The […]

Read more »

Why is this double-y-axis graph not so bad?

September 12, 2015
By
Why is this double-y-axis graph not so bad?

Usually I (and other statisticians who think a lot about graphics) can’t stand this sort of graph that overloads the y-axis: But this example from Isabel Scott and Nicholas Pound actually isn’t so bad at all! The left axis should have a lower bound at 0—it’s not possible for conception risk to be negative—but, other […] The post Why is this double-y-axis graph not so bad? appeared first on Statistical…

Read more »

Peircean Induction and the Error-Correcting Thesis (Part I)

September 11, 2015
By
Peircean Induction and the Error-Correcting Thesis (Part I)

Yesterday was C.S. Peirce’s birthday. He’s one of my all time heroes. You should read him: he’s a treasure chest on essentially any topic. I only recently discovered a passage where Popper calls Peirce one of the greatest philosophical thinkers ever (I don’t have it handy). If Popper had taken a few more pages from Peirce, he would have […]

Read more »

Being polite vs. saying what we really think

September 11, 2015
By
Being polite vs. saying what we really think

We recently discussed an article by Isabel Scott and Nicholas Pound entitled, “Menstrual Cycle Phase Does Not Predict Political Conservatism,” in which Scott and Pound definitively shot down some research that was so ridiculous it never even deserved the dignity of being shot down. The trouble is, the original article, “The Fluctuating Female Vote: Politics, […] The post Being polite vs. saying what we really think appeared first on Statistical…

Read more »

Tufte soundbites

September 11, 2015
By

Tom B. alerted me to an interview with Ed Tufte, by Ad Age (link). It's a good read. The journalist attended one of Tufte's courses but then the interview was conducted via email. So it reads like a condensed version...

Read more »

Let’s apply for some of that sweet, sweet National Sanitation Foundation funding

September 10, 2015
By
Let’s apply for some of that sweet, sweet National Sanitation Foundation funding

Paul Alper pointed me to this news article about where the bacteria and fungi hang out on airplanes. This is a topic that doesn’t interest me at all, but then I noticed this, at the very end of the article: Note: A previous version of this article cited the National Science Foundation rather than the […] The post Let’s apply for some of that sweet, sweet National Sanitation Foundation funding…

Read more »

Light entertainment: what is truth?

September 10, 2015
By
Light entertainment: what is truth?

Benjamin Lee at the Guardian didn't like the new Tom Hardy movie Legend much (link). His verdict in brief: The legend must live on but Legend certainly won't. Then, Lee saw this Legend ad (link): (Tip from Doeke W., long-time...

Read more »


Subscribe

Email:

  Subscribe