Growth and Debt (Advanced Data Analysis from an Elementary Point of View)

September 4, 2013
By

In which the relationship (if any) between GDP growth and government debt forms a bridge between causal inference and time series analysis. Assignment, debt.csv Update, 2 May: I have given up on posting solutions, but in this case I will make an exc...

Read more »

Time Series (Advanced Data Analysis from an Elementary Point of View)

September 4, 2013
By

What time series are. Properties: autocorrelation or serial correlation; other notions of serial dependence; strong and weak stationarity. The correlation time and the world's simplest ergodic theorem; effective sample size. The meaning of ergodici...

Read more »

Final Exam (Advanced Data Analysis from an Elementary Point of View)

September 4, 2013
By

In which we are devoted to two problems of political economy, viz., strikes, and macroeconomic forecasting. Assignment; macro.csv Advanced Data Analysis from an Elementary Point of View

Read more »

Self-Evaluation and Lessons Learned (Advanced Data Analysis from an Elementary Point of View)

September 4, 2013
By

Attention conservation notice: Navel-gazing about teaching. Well, that was exhausting. Everything seemed to take me at least as much effort and time as the year before, despite recycling a lot of material. There continues to not be enough manpower ...

Read more »

Class Announcement: 36-350, Statistical Computing

September 4, 2013
By

It's that time of year again: 36-350, Statistical Computing Description: Computational data analysis is an essential part of modern statistics. Competent statisticians must not just be able to run existing programs, but to understand the principles ...

Read more »

Basic Data Types and Data Structures (Introduction to Statistical Computing)

September 4, 2013
By

Introduction to the course: statistical programming for autonomy, honesty, and clarity of thought. The functional programming idea: write code by building functions to transform input data into desired outputs. Basic data types: Booleans, integers, ...

Read more »

Lab: Basic Probability, Basic Data Structures (Introduction to Statistical Computing)

September 4, 2013
By

In which we play around with basic data structures and convince ourself that the laws of probability are, in fact, right. (Or perhaps that R's random number generator is pretty good.) Lab Introduction to Statistical Computing

Read more »

Rainfall, Data Structures, Obsessive Doodling (Introduction to Statistical Computing)

September 4, 2013
By

In which we practice working with data frames, grapple with some of the subtleties of R's system of data types, and calculate the consequences of doodling while bored in lecture. Assignment, due at 11:59 pm on Thursday, 5 September 2013 Introductio...

Read more »

Flow Control, Iteration, Vectorizing (Introduction to Statistical Computing)

September 4, 2013
By

Lecture 3: Conditioning the calculation on the data: if; what is truth?; Boolean operators again; switch. Iteration to repeat similar calculations: for and iterating over a vector; while and conditional iteration (reducing for to while); repeat and u...

Read more »

Use this chart at your own peril

September 4, 2013
By
Use this chart at your own peril

On Twitter, Joe D. disliked the following chart on the Information is Beautiful blog: *** The chart carries a long list of flaws. The column labeled "%" is probably the most jarring. The meaning of these numbers changes with the...

Read more »

Another Look at Many Eyes, 18 Months Later

September 4, 2013
By
Another Look at Many Eyes, 18 Months Later

In February of last year, I wrote a posting based on some data I had scraped from Many Eyes, and criticizing where I thought it was going (or not going). Here is an update, eighteen months later, of some of the things that have happened in the meantime, and some new data. My interest in […]

Read more »

Gelman’s response to my comment on Jaynes

September 4, 2013
By
Gelman’s response to my comment on Jaynes

Gelman responds to the comment[i] I made on my 8/31/13 post: Popper and Jaynes Posted by Andrew on 3 September 2013 Deborah Mayo quotes me as saying, “Popper has argued (convincingly, in my opinion) that scientific inference is not inductive but deductive.” She then follows up with: Gelman employs significance test-type reasoning to reject a model when the data sufficiently disagree. […]

Read more »

Popper and Jaynes

September 3, 2013
By
Popper and Jaynes

Deborah Mayo quotes me as saying, “Popper has argued (convincingly, in my opinion) that scientific inference is not inductive but deductive.” She then follows up with: Gelman employs significance test-type reasoning to reject a model when the data sufficiently disagree. Now, strictly speaking, a model falsification, even to inferring something as weak as “the model […]The post Popper and Jaynes appeared first on Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science.

Read more »

Is Economics too Important for Economists?

September 3, 2013
By

Like piranha fish in a feeding frenzy, different research tribes fight furiously to stake claims in new areas like financial engineering and risk management. Fringe players, in particular, often strive to move toward the center, or to redefine the cent...

Read more »

The inutility of stacking columns

September 3, 2013
By
The inutility of stacking columns

When I see a stacked column chart like this: (via Andrew Sullivan) I immediately want to remake it as a line chart, like this: The decline in households with two parents and children appears more dramatic in the line chart,...

Read more »

Evaluating evidence from published research

September 3, 2013
By

Following up on my entry the other day on post-publication peer review, Dan Kahan writes: You give me credit, I think, for merely participating in what I think is a systemic effect in the practice of empirical inquiry that conduces to quality control & hence the advance of knowledge by such means (likely the title […]The post Evaluating evidence from published research appeared first on Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and…

Read more »

Statistics and Big Data: a pending marriage

September 3, 2013
By

The current issue of Significance includes an article by me on the "pending marriage between statistics and Big Data". If you are a member of either the American Statistical Association or the Royal Statistical Society, you should be able to access the article via this link. If you don't belong to one of those, and you have a smartphone or tablet, you can download the Significance app -- because 2013…

Read more »

Visitors

September 3, 2013
By
Visitors

I wasn't really a great fan of the show when I was growing up, and I also think (hope!) that the picture is not fitting to what I'm about to say...But when I was at BayesPharma earlier this year, Miguel Negrín has kindly invited me to v...

Read more »

Convert a string into a vector of characters

September 3, 2013
By
Convert a string into a vector of characters

Sometimes it is useful in the SAS/IML language to convert a character string into a vector of one-character values. For example, you might want to count the frequency distribution of characters, which is easy when each character is an element of a vector. The question of how to convert a [...]

Read more »

A Map of the Age of all Buildings in the Netherlands

September 3, 2013
By
A Map of the Age of all Buildings in the Netherlands

What can be accomplished for about 320,000 buildings in a New York neighborhood, can also be done for 9,866,539 buildings located in a whole country. In the interactive map [waag.org] each building in the Netherlands is been shaded according to the ye...

Read more »

Doughnut chart in R with googleVis

September 3, 2013
By
Doughnut chart in R with googleVis

The guys at Google continue to update and enhance the Chart Tools API. One new recent feature is a pie chart with a hole, or as some call them: donut charts.Thankfully the new functionality is being achieved through new options for the existing pie cha...

Read more »

PaperScape: an Overview of all Scientific Papers Submitted at arXiv

September 2, 2013
By
PaperScape: an Overview of all Scientific Papers Submitted at arXiv

The interactive map PaperScape [paperscape.org] by high energy physics researcher Damien George and particle physics PhD student Rob Knegjens provides a visual overview of all the 869,258 scientific physics, mathematics, and computer papers that have ...

Read more »

More on Heteros*edasiticity

September 2, 2013
By

Thanks to Rikky Vohra for bringing still more to my attention. Absolutely classic!

Read more »


Subscribe

Email:

  Subscribe