Today I look at an unlikely oversight by the New York Times: I think they tried to simplify the scale but ended up making a mess. Tufte preaches getting rid of all unnecessary ink but sometimes, you go overboard. ***...

Shravan Vasishth sent me an earlier draft of this tutorial he co-authored with Tanner Sorensen. I liked it, asked if I could blog about it, and in response, they’ve put together a convenient web page with links to the tutorial PDF, JAGS and Stan programs, and data: Fitting linear mixed models using JAGS and Stan: […] The post Stan (& JAGS) Tutorial on Linear Mixed Models appeared first on Statistical…

The new book titled: Past, Present, and Future of Statistical Science is now available for download. The official description makes the book sound pretty stuffy: Past, Present, and Future of Statistical Science, commissioned by the Committee of Presidents of Statistical Societies (COPSS) to celebrate its 50th anniversary and the International Year of Statistics, will be […] The post Honored oldsters write about statistics appeared first on Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference,…

We have an exciting new initiative at Monash University with some new positions in business analytics. This is part of a plan to strengthen our research and teaching in the data science/computational statistics area. We are hoping to make multiple appointments, at junior and senior levels. These are five-year appointments, but we hope that the positions will continue after that if we can secure suitable funding. What is business analytics?…

“What ever happened to Bayesian foundations?” was one of the final topics of our seminar (Mayo/SpanosPhil6334). In the past 15 years or so, not only have (some? most?) Bayesians come to accept violations of the Likelihood Principle, they have also tended to disown Dutch Book arguments, and the very idea of inductive inference as updating beliefs by […]

A/B tests are one of the simplest reliable experimental designs. Controlled experiments embody the best scientific design for establishing a causal relationship between changes and their influence on user-observable behavior. “Practical guide to controlled experiments on the web: listen to your customers not to the HIPPO” Ron Kohavi, Randal M Henne, and Dan Sommerfield, Proceedings […] Related posts: Bandit Formulations for A/B Tests: Some Intuition Sample size and power for…

Paul Alper writes: You recently posted on graphs and how to convey information. I don’t believe you have ever posted anything on this dynamite randomized clinical trial of 90,000 (!!) 40-59 year-old women over a 25-year period (also !!). The graphs below are figures 2, 3 and 4 respectively, of http://www.bmj.com/content/348/bmj.g366 The control was physical […] The post “The graph clearly shows that mammography adds virtually nothing to survival and…

What is a chi-square test: A chi square tests the relationship between two attributes. Suppose we suspect that rural Americans tended to vote Romney, and urban Americans tended to vote Obama. In this case, we suspect a relationship between where you live and who you vote for. The full name for this test is Pearson’s […]

Today, I want to follow up with the Calendar Strategy: Month End post. Let’s examine the perfromance Option Expiry days as presented in the The Mooost Wonderful Tiiiiiiime of the Yearrrrrrrrr! post. First, I created two convenience functions for creating a calendar signal and back-testing calendar strategy: calendar.signal and calendar.strategy functions are in the strategy.r […]

Continuing our discussion of general measures of correlations, Ben Murrell sends along this paper (with corresponding R package), which begins: When two variables are related by a known function, the coefficient of determination (denoted R-squared) measures the proportion of the total variance in the observations that is explained by that function. This quantifies the strength […] The post Discovering general multidimensional associations appeared first on Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and…

My friend Virgilio has posted this on his Facebook page and invited me to comment. It is an article by a Spanish cardiologist that tells the story of a patient who has suffered a second stroke in a short amount of time $-$ as it turns out, th...

Great news! The RSS is setting a data analysis challenge this year, sponsored by the Young Statisticians Section and Research Section of the Royal Statistical Society: Details are available on the wordpress website of the Challenge. Registration is open and the Challenge goes live on Tuesday 6 May 2014 for an exciting 6 weeks competition. (A […]

The goal of Zumel/Mount: Practical Data Science with R is to teach, through guided practice, the skills of a data scientist. We define a data scientist as the person who organizes client input, data, infrastructure, statistics, mathematics and machine learning to deploy useful predictive models into production. Our plan to teach is to: Order the […] Related posts: How does Practical Data Science with R stand out? Data Science, Machine…