Book reading at Ann Arbor Meetup on Monday night: Probability and Statistics: a simulation-based introduction

The Talk

I’m going to be previewing the book I’m in the process of writing at the Ann Arbor R meetup on Monday. Here are the details, including the working title:

Probability and Statistics: a simulation-based introduction
Bob Carpenter
Monday, February 18, 2019
Ann Arbor SPARK, 330 East Liberty St, Ann Arbor

I’ve been to a few of their meetings and I really like this meetup group—a lot more statistics depth than you often get (for example, nobody asked me how to shovel their web site into Stan to get business intelligence). There will be a gang (or at least me!) going out for food and drinks afterward.

I’m still not 100% sure about which parts I’m going to talk about, as I’ve already written 100+ pages of it. After some warmup on the basics of Monte Carlo, I’ll probably do a simulation-based demonstration of the central limit theorem, the curse of dimensionality, and some illustration of (anti-)correlation effects on MCMC, as those are nice encapsulated little case studies I can probably get through in an hour.

The Repository

I’m writing it all in bookdown and licensing it all open source. I’ll probably try to find a publisher, but I’m only going to do so if I can keep the pdf free.

I just opened up the GitHub repo so anyone can download and build it:

I’m happy to take suggestions, but please don’t start filing issues on typos, grammar, etc.—I haven’t even spell checked it yet, much less passed it by a real copy editor. When there’s a more stable draft, I’ll put up a pdf.